Arena run #947
meanrev-v1 • mistralai • mistralai/mistral-large-2512 • US • success
Run status
as_of: 2026-03-30T17:49:05.858690+00:00
started_at: 2026-03-30T20:02:00.713109+00:00
finished_at: 2026-03-30T20:02:29.764542+00:00
duration_ms: 29047
Inputs
{
"as_of": "2026-03-30T17:49:05.858690+00:00",
"dry_run": false,
"selected": [
{
"symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Extreme 1-day drop (-36.8%), far below MA50 (-31.7%) and MA200 (-40.6%), high volatility (193.2%), no earnings date known.",
"mean_reversion_score": 90
},
{
"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Large 1-day drop (-21.2%), below MA50 (-23.8%) and MA200 (-37.8%), high volatility (154.3%), no earnings date known.",
"mean_reversion_score": 85
},
{
"symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Significant 1-day drop (-26.8%), below MA50 (-22.1%) and MA200 (-17.6%), high volatility (154.0%), no earnings date known.",
"mean_reversion_score": 80
},
{
"symbol": "HIK_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Large 1-day drop (-19.6%), below MA50 (-15.7%) and MA200 (-28.9%), high volatility (155.6%), no earnings date known.",
"mean_reversion_score": 75
},
{
"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Large 1-day drop (-26.6%), below MA50 (-22.1%) and MA200 (-13.4%), high volatility (169.1%), no earnings date known.",
"mean_reversion_score": 70
}
],
"simulate_only": false,
"strict_replay": false,
"universe_symbols": [
"CRST_CFD.UK",
"MSLH_CFD.UK",
"BOY_CFD.UK",
"LMP_CFD.UK",
"SPX_CFD.UK",
"PAGE_CFD.UK",
"FUTR_CFD.UK",
"ESNT_CFD.UK",
"JDW_CFD.UK",
"MCG_CFD.UK",
"SHC_CFD.UK",
"PAG_CFD.UK",
"INVP_CFD.UK",
"SAFE_CFD.UK",
"RHIM_CFD.UK",
"UTG_CFD.UK",
"CBG_CFD.UK",
"RSW_CFD.UK",
"DLN_CFD.UK",
"EMG_CFD.UK",
"PZC_CFD.UK",
"DOM_CFD.UK",
"OCDO_CFD.UK",
"HWDN_CFD.UK",
"LRE_CFD.UK",
"ABDN_CFD.UK",
"LIO_CFD.UK",
"BBY_CFD.UK",
"MAB_CFD.UK",
"KGF_CFD.UK",
"PSN_CFD.UK",
"RHK_CFD.DE",
"IPO_CFD.UK",
"CMCX_CFD.UK",
"GRG_CFD.UK",
"IWG_CFD.UK",
"SRP_CFD.UK",
"BYIT_CFD.UK",
"HIK_CFD.UK",
"UKW_CFD.UK",
"TBCG_CFD.UK",
"VIAV_CFD.US",
"ATG_CFD.UK",
"ROR_CFD.UK",
"HMSO_CFD.UK",
"GLO_CFD.FR"
]
}Outputs
{
"actions": {
"buy": [
{
"reason": "Top candidate with extreme mean-reversion score (90), significant 1-day drop, and high volatility; already held but increasing position to fixed_position_size.",
"symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK",
"position_size": 3000
},
{
"reason": "Strong mean-reversion score (85), large 1-day drop, and high volatility; already held but increasing position to fixed_position_size.",
"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK",
"position_size": 3000
}
],
"hold": [
{
"reason": "Positive unrealized PnL (258.85), no strong signal to sell; holding aligns with mean-reversion strategy.",
"symbol": "BTRW_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Marginal PnL (near zero), no clear mean-reversion signal to exit; candidate for mean-reversion but already held.",
"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "No price movement since entry, no signal to exit; holding aligns with strategy.",
"symbol": "CRST_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Positive unrealized PnL (122.61), no strong signal to sell; holding aligns with strategy.",
"symbol": "EXPD_CFD.US"
},
{
"reason": "Already held, no significant price movement since entry; candidate for mean-reversion but no action needed.",
"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "No price movement since entry, no signal to exit; holding aligns with strategy.",
"symbol": "HIK_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "No price movement since entry, no signal to exit; holding aligns with strategy.",
"symbol": "ICG_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Positive unrealized PnL (101.19), no strong signal to sell; holding aligns with strategy.",
"symbol": "INF_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Marginal PnL (near zero), no clear mean-reversion signal to exit; candidate for mean-reversion but already held.",
"symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "No price movement since entry, no signal to exit; holding aligns with strategy.",
"symbol": "JDW_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Positive unrealized PnL (92.56), no strong signal to sell; holding aligns with strategy.",
"symbol": "JMAT_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "No price movement since entry, no signal to exit; holding aligns with strategy.",
"symbol": "KGF_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "No price movement since entry, no signal to exit; holding aligns with strategy.",
"symbol": "MSLH_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "No price movement since entry, no signal to exit; holding aligns with strategy.",
"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "No price movement since entry, no signal to exit; holding aligns with strategy.",
"symbol": "PAG_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Already held, no significant price movement since entry; candidate for mean-reversion but no action needed.",
"symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "No price movement since entry, no signal to exit; holding aligns with strategy.",
"symbol": "STJ_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Positive unrealized PnL (868.19), no strong signal to sell; holding aligns with strategy.",
"symbol": "SYNT_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "No price movement since entry, no signal to exit; holding aligns with strategy.",
"symbol": "TPK_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Positive unrealized PnL (132.54), no strong signal to sell; holding aligns with strategy.",
"symbol": "UKW_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "No price movement since entry, no signal to exit; holding aligns with strategy.",
"symbol": "ESNT_CFD.UK"
}
],
"sell": [
{
"reason": "Significant unrealized loss (-325.99), no clear mean-reversion signal in recent data, and position size exceeds fixed_position_size due to price drop.",
"symbol": "MCG_CFD.UK"
}
]
},
"portfolio_rationale": "Portfolio adjustments focus on mean-reversion candidates with the highest scores. MCG_CFD.UK is sold due to significant unrealized losses and lack of mean-reversion signal. PAGE_CFD.UK and FUTR_CFD.UK are top candidates for mean-reversion and are already held; positions are increased to fixed_position_size to align with strategy. Other positions are held due to lack of clear signals or positive PnL, avoiding overtrading."
}Prompts & responses
#1849 • openrouter • mistralai/mistral-large-2512 • 2026-03-30T20:02:00.759052+00:00
System prompt
You are an Arena strategy executor. You must follow the strategy rules strictly and output ONLY valid JSON. You are NOT allowed to invent prices, fundamentals, earnings dates, or sentiment. If a field is null/empty, treat it as unknown. You are a constrained selector (no narrative).
User prompt
{"task": "stage1_universe_scan", "region": "US", "strategy": {"key": "meanrev-v1", "name": "Two-Stage LLM Mean-Reversion (Arena v1)", "rules": {"max_positions": 10, "max_buys_per_run": 2, "avoid_overtrading": true, "max_sells_per_run": 2, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "universe_symbols_eu": [], "universe_symbols_us": []}}, "selection_rules": {"horizon": "2-10 trading days", "target": "short-term mean reversion in liquid equities", "constraints": ["Select exactly 5 candidates", "Avoid earnings within 5 trading days (if known)", "Avoid highly binary/event-driven moves (if known)", "Avoid sector concentration: max 1 per sector unless clearly justified (sector may be unknown)"]}, "universe": [{"symbol": "CRST_CFD.UK", "name": "CREST NICHOLSON HOLDINGS", "sector": "", "last_price": 167.8, "change_1d_pct": 24.85119047619049, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 1.2720261375977815, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 17.82963155418549, "volatility_20d_pct": 158.46878099582966, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "MSLH_CFD.UK", "name": "MARSHALLS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 179.0, "change_1d_pct": 2.052451539338662, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -18.41965657865713, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 4.539832012082234, "volatility_20d_pct": 102.90810964969117, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BOY_CFD.UK", "name": "BODYCOTE PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 775.4, "change_1d_pct": 24.163330664531625, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 28.652243313347768, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 18.63612217470385, "volatility_20d_pct": 103.46484337510964, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "LMP_CFD.UK", "name": "LONDONMETRIC PROPERTY PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 214.0, "change_1d_pct": 11.57455683003128, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 12.507879494597773, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 10.77384329331672, "volatility_20d_pct": 54.89150861607771, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SPX_CFD.UK", "name": "SPIRAX-SARCO ENGINEERING PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 7608.71, "change_1d_pct": 10.91413994169097, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 15.905097055024719, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 8.459177525660632, "volatility_20d_pct": 84.71063298478786, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK", "name": "PAGEGROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 152.7, "change_1d_pct": -36.79635761589404, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -40.61156091058385, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -31.72721647345812, "volatility_20d_pct": 193.22753953431183, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK", "name": "FUTURE PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 419.8, "change_1d_pct": -21.238273921200744, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -37.8057811437588, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -23.777028015845957, "volatility_20d_pct": 154.26286041137905, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ESNT_CFD.UK", "name": "ESSENTRA PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 108.4, "change_1d_pct": 4.230769230769238, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 7.40452119530135, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 9.771484932749797, "volatility_20d_pct": 98.9832071461764, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "JDW_CFD.UK", "name": "WETHERSPOON (J.D.) PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 748.5, "change_1d_pct": 9.750733137829904, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 6.242631058659898, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 5.290077328071208, "volatility_20d_pct": 98.2373545531062, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "MCG_CFD.UK", "name": "MOBICO GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 19.51, "change_1d_pct": -21.646586345381515, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -29.294942649537013, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -17.188746837807088, "volatility_20d_pct": 260.52106739031456, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SHC_CFD.UK", "name": "SHAFTESBURY CAPITAL PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 140.4, "change_1d_pct": -2.9045643153526868, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 0.26963533347688085, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -0.771073778544229, "volatility_20d_pct": 63.75522821252001, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "PAG_CFD.UK", "name": "PARAGON BANKING GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 852.5, "change_1d_pct": -3.399433427762044, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -1.3404962254783492, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.699141440891915, "volatility_20d_pct": 71.52779356208148, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "INVP_CFD.UK", "name": "INVESTEC PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 623.5, "change_1d_pct": 8.529155787641418, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 17.34715626999408, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 9.569618971869698, "volatility_20d_pct": 76.97154585310399, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SAFE_CFD.UK", "name": "SAFESTORE HOLDINGS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 708.0, "change_1d_pct": 0.14144271570013522, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 7.079918522466522, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -2.535991476029087, "volatility_20d_pct": 107.99712610776675, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "RHIM_CFD.UK", "name": "RHI MAGNESITA NV", "sector": "", "last_price": 2550.0, "change_1d_pct": -6.764168190127973, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -2.35709026809392, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.9429816244979738, "volatility_20d_pct": 151.25590362229855, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "UTG_CFD.UK", "name": "UNITE GROUP PLC/THE", "sector": "", "last_price": 505.0, "change_1d_pct": -8.265213442325159, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -32.12786599325862, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -13.548388422126267, "volatility_20d_pct": 98.87339279796446, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK", "name": "CLOSE BROTHERS GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 372.74, "change_1d_pct": -26.625984251968504, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -13.365429078084645, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -22.129222788055436, "volatility_20d_pct": 169.0552301316783, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "RSW_CFD.UK", "name": "RENISHAW PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 4100.0, "change_1d_pct": 18.155619596541793, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 36.779911314574385, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 14.333028240759926, "volatility_20d_pct": 92.61568245477878, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "DLN_CFD.UK", "name": "DERWENT LONDON PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 1953.0, "change_1d_pct": 10.401356698699837, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 5.069478604951705, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 12.150447212111025, "volatility_20d_pct": 115.39088732649292, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "EMG_CFD.UK", "name": "MAN GROUP PLC/JERSEY", "sector": "", "last_price": 269.6, "change_1d_pct": 2.353834472285521, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 42.186331073171914, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 15.516783354614262, "volatility_20d_pct": 86.92367167139048, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "PZC_CFD.UK", "name": "PZ CUSSONS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 77.7, "change_1d_pct": -13.858093126385807, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 2.9808107121248817, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 2.5905093876257723, "volatility_20d_pct": 92.73478468401771, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "DOM_CFD.UK", "name": "DOMINO'S PIZZA GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 183.13, "change_1d_pct": -0.3102885138813294, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -15.070952368916624, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 1.0777282376278619, "volatility_20d_pct": 87.92203351330001, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK", "name": "OCADO GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 217.0, "change_1d_pct": -21.148255813953487, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -15.81606625159202, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -5.48311196636071, "volatility_20d_pct": 241.3119670937803, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "HWDN_CFD.UK", "name": "HOWDEN JOINERY GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 843.0, "change_1d_pct": -2.686229466563539, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 2.9144756901175572, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.6796292983215046, "volatility_20d_pct": 44.16384759940265, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "LRE_CFD.UK", "name": "LANCASHIRE HOLDINGS LTD", "sector": "", "last_price": 611.0, "change_1d_pct": -7.424242424242422, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 0.4068944205071867, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -6.396619125545266, "volatility_20d_pct": 86.32350801127552, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ABDN_CFD.UK", "name": "Aberdeen Group Plc", "sector": "", "last_price": 202.6, "change_1d_pct": -7.741347905282336, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 6.460345885775287, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -2.3285905331046353, "volatility_20d_pct": 82.55854119558269, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "LIO_CFD.UK", "name": "LIONTRUST ASSET MANAGEMENT", "sector": "", "last_price": 270.0, "change_1d_pct": 7.784431137724557, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -17.148878096081223, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 4.440258238208905, "volatility_20d_pct": 138.52252179896075, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BBY_CFD.UK", "name": "BALFOUR BEATTY PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 759.18, "change_1d_pct": 5.222453222453205, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 33.313724414201815, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 8.832962232591, "volatility_20d_pct": 54.25956465831767, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "MAB_CFD.UK", "name": "MITCHELLS & BUTLERS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 292.81, "change_1d_pct": 14.37890625, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 11.595067041457764, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 10.935906392690597, "volatility_20d_pct": 118.87119977937589, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "KGF_CFD.UK", "name": "KINGFISHER PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 298.6, "change_1d_pct": -16.592178770949715, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 1.7661505198389493, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -8.10124743477527, "volatility_20d_pct": 106.76236046208503, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "PSN_CFD.UK", "name": "PERSIMMON PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 1125.0, "change_1d_pct": -18.181818181818176, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -10.441765693528215, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -17.60321899687448, "volatility_20d_pct": 125.39714948121237, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "RHK_CFD.DE", "name": "Rhoen-Klinikum AG", "sector": "", "last_price": 12.6, "change_1d_pct": -0.7874015748031482, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 0.9608103787712929, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -2.533509907546072, "volatility_20d_pct": 111.99937384863638, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "IPO_CFD.UK", "name": "IP GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 57.6, "change_1d_pct": -1.873935264054516, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 10.233643652522883, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -2.027486732888828, "volatility_20d_pct": 89.82123635439407, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CMCX_CFD.UK", "name": "CMC MARKETS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 336.5, "change_1d_pct": 6.487341772151889, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 33.727269096422944, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 13.399699398122245, "volatility_20d_pct": 207.2492443353413, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "GRG_CFD.UK", "name": "GREGGS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 1487.0, "change_1d_pct": -2.746893394375405, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -11.440882158395937, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -8.838105794389772, "volatility_20d_pct": 3782.806831632296, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK", "name": "IWG PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 177.0, "change_1d_pct": -26.786896095301127, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -17.645939421376646, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -22.14236071400294, "volatility_20d_pct": 154.02502086657427, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SRP_CFD.UK", "name": "SERCO GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 300.0, "change_1d_pct": -0.3984063745019917, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 34.11120814305375, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 6.89280433272168, "volatility_20d_pct": 77.89780733903845, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK", "name": "BYTES TECHNOLOGY GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 300.4, "change_1d_pct": -12.674418604651173, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -28.03446775272175, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -14.34777426817815, "volatility_20d_pct": 87.82535981934274, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "HIK_CFD.UK", "name": "HIKMA PHARMACEUTICALS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 1267.0, "change_1d_pct": -19.55555555555556, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -28.881851790845626, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -15.711709832205766, "volatility_20d_pct": 155.5956600941246, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "UKW_CFD.UK", "name": "GREENCOAT UK WIND PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 98.75, "change_1d_pct": -0.05060728744938903, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -11.408996180942744, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -4.589556348683388, "volatility_20d_pct": 64.15684506219812, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "TBCG_CFD.UK", "name": "TBC BANK GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 4125.0, "change_1d_pct": -3.169014084507038, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -6.5045509221490105, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -0.1025081463074895, "volatility_20d_pct": 110.62209591564869, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "VIAV_CFD.US", "name": "VIAVI SOLUTIONS INC", "sector": "", "last_price": 31.19, "change_1d_pct": -16.915290356952582, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 81.79433750564648, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 11.58653949354953, "volatility_20d_pct": 154.83519556948903, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ATG_CFD.UK", "name": "AUCTION TECHNOLOGY GROUP", "sector": "", "last_price": 313.0, "change_1d_pct": 0.3205128205128194, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.8343803356850588, "volatility_20d_pct": 2871.9337920464413, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ROR_CFD.UK", "name": "ROTORK PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 315.64, "change_1d_pct": -7.815420560747666, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -3.440121571713639, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -7.465605958975752, "volatility_20d_pct": 114.53961834922319, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "HMSO_CFD.UK", "name": "HAMMERSON PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 355.4, "change_1d_pct": 14.129736673089276, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 22.516025502913806, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 10.006914897239172, "volatility_20d_pct": 87.54938293511039, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "GLO_CFD.FR", "name": "GL Events", "sector": "", "last_price": 29.25, "change_1d_pct": -5.797101449275366, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -2.880578639172615, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -9.170235163695416, "volatility_20d_pct": 91.53331872104411, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}], "output_schema": {"selected_stocks": [{"symbol": "string", "mean_reversion_score": "integer 0-100", "selection_reason": "short, concrete, indicator-based"}], "rejected_common_reasons": ["string"]}}Output JSON
{
"selected_stocks": [
{
"symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Extreme 1-day drop (-36.8%), far below MA50 (-31.7%) and MA200 (-40.6%), high volatility (193.2%), no earnings date known.",
"mean_reversion_score": 90
},
{
"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Large 1-day drop (-21.2%), below MA50 (-23.8%) and MA200 (-37.8%), high volatility (154.3%), no earnings date known.",
"mean_reversion_score": 85
},
{
"symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Significant 1-day drop (-26.8%), below MA50 (-22.1%) and MA200 (-17.6%), high volatility (154.0%), no earnings date known.",
"mean_reversion_score": 80
},
{
"symbol": "HIK_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Large 1-day drop (-19.6%), below MA50 (-15.7%) and MA200 (-28.9%), high volatility (155.6%), no earnings date known.",
"mean_reversion_score": 75
},
{
"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Large 1-day drop (-26.6%), below MA50 (-22.1%) and MA200 (-13.4%), high volatility (169.1%), no earnings date known.",
"mean_reversion_score": 70
}
],
"rejected_common_reasons": [
"No sector data to enforce concentration rule",
"No earnings date to confirm avoidance of earnings within 5 days",
"Extreme outliers in volatility (e.g., GRG_CFD.UK) suggest binary/event-driven moves"
]
}#1850 • openrouter • mistralai/mistral-large-2512 • 2026-03-30T20:02:11.821954+00:00
System prompt
You are an Arena portfolio manager. You must follow the strategy rules strictly and output ONLY valid JSON. You are NOT allowed to invent prices/fundamentals/news/earnings. If a field is null/empty, treat it as unknown. Avoid overtrading: if changes are marginal, prefer HOLD. Do not churn.
User prompt
{"task": "stage2_portfolio_management", "region": "US", "strategy": {"key": "meanrev-v1", "name": "Two-Stage LLM Mean-Reversion (Arena v1)", "rules": {"max_positions": 10, "max_buys_per_run": 2, "avoid_overtrading": true, "max_sells_per_run": 2, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "universe_symbols_eu": [], "universe_symbols_us": []}}, "portfolio_constraints": {"initial_equity": 10000.0, "max_positions": 10, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "overtrading_rules": ["Max 2 SELL actions per run unless risk event forces more", "Max 2 BUY actions per run", "If no clear improvement vs current holdings, output HOLD for everything"]}, "current_portfolio": [{"symbol": "AAL_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 2913.0, "last_price": 2900.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-19T10:09:24.325041+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ACM_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 88.42, "last_price": 97.88, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-15T10:57:15.913854+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ADS_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 137.15, "last_price": 138.55, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-04T10:26:53.527562+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AIR_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 200.984, "last_price": 187.12, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T09:33:49.074031+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AMCX_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 7.5, "last_price": 7.365, "unrealized_pnl": -53.999999999999915, "opened_at": "2026-02-24T18:14:37.115518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AMH_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 29.595, "last_price": 29.485, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T17:33:34.647633+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ATG_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 296.0, "last_price": 296.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-04T18:49:26.891792+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ATO_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 35.106, "last_price": 38.024, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-25T10:57:06.928276+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AUTO_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 482.8, "last_price": 482.8, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-19T18:04:14.272849+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BIG_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 0.453, "last_price": 0.453, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-28T10:51:05.818250+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BLND_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 364.2, "last_price": 364.2, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-09T18:18:45.954380+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BRBY_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1070.84, "last_price": 1070.84, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-09T10:19:46.508085+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BTRW_CFD.UK", "qty": 11.961722488038276, "avg_price": 250.8, "last_price": 272.44, "unrealized_pnl": 258.8516746411481, "opened_at": "2026-03-23T18:04:09.108429+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 292.6, "last_price": 292.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-15T10:57:15.913854+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK", "qty": 78.73556514638985, "avg_price": 342.9199999999999, "last_price": 342.92, "unrealized_pnl": 8.95119741771735e-12, "opened_at": "2026-03-04T10:26:53.527562+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CRST_CFD.UK", "qty": 25.246149962130776, "avg_price": 118.83, "last_price": 118.83, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-18T17:58:33.497657+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CRWD_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 350.24, "last_price": 350.055, "unrealized_pnl": -1.5846276838739344, "opened_at": "2026-02-23T18:14:12.978497+00:00"}, {"symbol": "DLTR_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 112.12, "last_price": 107.655, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-17T18:12:35.221859+00:00"}, {"symbol": "DOM_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 199.3, "last_price": 189.21, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T09:33:49.074031+00:00"}, {"symbol": "DSY_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 17.881, "last_price": 16.752, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T09:30:55.514112+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ESNT_CFD.UK", "qty": 31.413612565445025, "avg_price": 95.5, "last_price": 95.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-20T10:26:40.341409+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ESTC_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 58.085, "last_price": 54.045, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T17:32:49.140800+00:00"}, {"symbol": "EVT_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 4.502, "last_price": 4.353, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-11T10:11:17.665074+00:00"}, {"symbol": "EXM_CFD.BE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 10.0, "last_price": 9.933, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T09:33:26.900894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "EXPD_CFD.US", "qty": 22.01269398686576, "avg_price": 136.285, "last_price": 141.85500000000002, "unrealized_pnl": 122.61070550684275, "opened_at": "2026-02-24T18:14:37.115518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "EZJ_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 405.2, "last_price": 394.1, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T17:33:34.647633+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FRVIA_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 12.709, "last_price": 12.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-26T10:33:24.101894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK", "qty": 16.285760816459476, "avg_price": 368.42, "last_price": 368.42, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-18T09:36:37.284518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "GO_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 6.53, "last_price": 6.35, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-05T18:20:59.102726+00:00"}, {"symbol": "GRI_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 189.6, "last_price": 189.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T09:33:26.900894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "HIK_CFD.UK", "qty": 4.854368932038835, "avg_price": 1236.0, "last_price": 1236.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-26T10:33:24.101894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ICG_CFD.UK", "qty": 1.772002362669817, "avg_price": 1693.0, "last_price": 1693.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-15T18:15:23.812047+00:00"}, {"symbol": "INF_CFD.UK", "qty": 4.0474905558553695, "avg_price": 741.2, "last_price": 766.2, "unrealized_pnl": 101.18726389638424, "opened_at": "2026-03-21T10:00:02.317290+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ITRK_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 3942.0, "last_price": 3760.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-13T10:07:39.444598+00:00"}, {"symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK", "qty": 52.26480836236934, "avg_price": 172.20000000000002, "last_price": 172.2, "unrealized_pnl": -1.4854551967110108e-12, "opened_at": "2026-03-16T18:18:58.833148+00:00"}, {"symbol": "JDW_CFD.UK", "qty": 4.514672686230249, "avg_price": 664.5, "last_price": 664.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-15T10:35:48.762746+00:00"}, {"symbol": "JEF_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 47.46, "last_price": 44.27, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-26T18:07:22.382508+00:00"}, {"symbol": "JMAT_CFD.UK", "qty": 1.6528925619834711, "avg_price": 1815.0, "last_price": 1871.0, "unrealized_pnl": 92.56198347107438, "opened_at": "2026-03-03T10:20:03.276878+00:00"}, {"symbol": "KGF_CFD.UK", "qty": 10.384215991692628, "avg_price": 288.9, "last_price": 288.9, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-27T09:59:46.331143+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LIO_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 250.0, "last_price": 257.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T09:33:44.817899+00:00"}, {"symbol": "MCG_CFD.UK", "qty": 153.76729882111735, "avg_price": 19.51, "last_price": 17.39, "unrealized_pnl": -325.9866735007689, "opened_at": "2026-03-27T18:04:13.865611+00:00"}, {"symbol": "MSLH_CFD.UK", "qty": 21.30681818181818, "avg_price": 140.8, "last_price": 140.8, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-21T17:59:11.913241+00:00"}, {"symbol": "NA9_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 48.578, "last_price": 53.3, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-25T10:57:06.928276+00:00"}, {"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK", "qty": 44.052863436123346, "avg_price": 204.3, "last_price": 204.3, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T17:30:52.485845+00:00"}, {"symbol": "OKTA_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 70.18, "last_price": 79.26, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-23T18:14:12.978497+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK", "qty": 135.44018058690745, "avg_price": 132.9, "last_price": 132.9, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-06T10:33:43.857578+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PAG_CFD.UK", "qty": 3.9190071848465053, "avg_price": 765.5, "last_price": 765.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-22T18:18:31.438015+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PSN_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1113.0, "last_price": 1078.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-21T10:00:02.317290+00:00"}, {"symbol": "RMV_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 424.3, "last_price": 424.3, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T00:47:27.070066+00:00"}, {"symbol": "SOI_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 57.5, "last_price": 54.96, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-19T10:09:24.325041+00:00"}, {"symbol": "STJ_CFD.UK", "qty": 2.459016393442623, "avg_price": 1220.0, "last_price": 1220.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-15T10:35:48.762746+00:00"}, {"symbol": "SYNT_CFD.UK", "qty": 85.9598853868195, "avg_price": 34.9, "last_price": 45.0, "unrealized_pnl": 868.194842406877, "opened_at": "2026-03-04T18:49:26.891792+00:00"}, {"symbol": "TPK_CFD.UK", "qty": 5.328975415660082, "avg_price": 562.96, "last_price": 562.96, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-22T18:18:31.438015+00:00"}, {"symbol": "TRN_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 184.50000000000003, "last_price": 211.4, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T09:30:55.514112+00:00"}, {"symbol": "TRST_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 151.8, "last_price": 224.82, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T17:30:52.485845+00:00"}, {"symbol": "TUI1_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 7.398000000000001, "last_price": 6.95, "unrealized_pnl": -181.67072181670738, "opened_at": "2026-03-02T10:31:26.559356+00:00"}, {"symbol": "UKW_CFD.UK", "qty": 32.48511099079589, "avg_price": 92.35, "last_price": 96.43, "unrealized_pnl": 132.53925284244764, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T09:33:44.817899+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ULTA_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 535.2, "last_price": 523.22, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-15T18:15:23.812047+00:00"}, {"symbol": "UTG_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 505.0, "last_price": 505.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-26T17:55:26.602359+00:00"}, {"symbol": "VSVS_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 425.0, "last_price": 421.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-16T18:18:58.833148+00:00"}, {"symbol": "VTY_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 385.0, "last_price": 385.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-11T10:11:17.665074+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WEIR_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 2890.0, "last_price": 2842.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-14T10:03:26.036362+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WIX_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 224.5, "last_price": 222.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-09T10:19:46.508085+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WIZZ_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1087.0, "last_price": 1064.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-03T10:20:03.276878+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WKP_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 412.5, "last_price": 412.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-22T09:32:59.506254+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WPP_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 263.4, "last_price": 257.0, "unrealized_pnl": -72.89293849658289, "opened_at": "2026-02-18T09:36:37.284518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ZS_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 159.76, "last_price": 144.45, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T17:32:49.140800+00:00"}], "candidates": [{"symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 90, "selection_reason": "Extreme 1-day drop (-36.8%), far below MA50 (-31.7%) and MA200 (-40.6%), high volatility (193.2%), no earnings date known."}, {"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 85, "selection_reason": "Large 1-day drop (-21.2%), below MA50 (-23.8%) and MA200 (-37.8%), high volatility (154.3%), no earnings date known."}, {"symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 80, "selection_reason": "Significant 1-day drop (-26.8%), below MA50 (-22.1%) and MA200 (-17.6%), high volatility (154.0%), no earnings date known."}, {"symbol": "HIK_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 75, "selection_reason": "Large 1-day drop (-19.6%), below MA50 (-15.7%) and MA200 (-28.9%), high volatility (155.6%), no earnings date known."}, {"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 70, "selection_reason": "Large 1-day drop (-26.6%), below MA50 (-22.1%) and MA200 (-13.4%), high volatility (169.1%), no earnings date known."}], "output_schema": {"actions": {"sell": [{"symbol": "string", "reason": "string"}], "hold": [{"symbol": "string", "reason": "string"}], "buy": [{"symbol": "string", "position_size": "number (currency amount)", "reason": "string"}]}, "portfolio_rationale": "string"}}Output JSON
{
"actions": {
"buy": [
{
"reason": "Top candidate with extreme mean-reversion score (90), significant 1-day drop, and high volatility; already held but increasing position to fixed_position_size.",
"symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK",
"position_size": 3000
},
{
"reason": "Strong mean-reversion score (85), large 1-day drop, and high volatility; already held but increasing position to fixed_position_size.",
"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK",
"position_size": 3000
}
],
"hold": [
{
"reason": "Positive unrealized PnL (258.85), no strong signal to sell; holding aligns with mean-reversion strategy.",
"symbol": "BTRW_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Marginal PnL (near zero), no clear mean-reversion signal to exit; candidate for mean-reversion but already held.",
"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "No price movement since entry, no signal to exit; holding aligns with strategy.",
"symbol": "CRST_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Positive unrealized PnL (122.61), no strong signal to sell; holding aligns with strategy.",
"symbol": "EXPD_CFD.US"
},
{
"reason": "Already held, no significant price movement since entry; candidate for mean-reversion but no action needed.",
"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "No price movement since entry, no signal to exit; holding aligns with strategy.",
"symbol": "HIK_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "No price movement since entry, no signal to exit; holding aligns with strategy.",
"symbol": "ICG_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Positive unrealized PnL (101.19), no strong signal to sell; holding aligns with strategy.",
"symbol": "INF_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Marginal PnL (near zero), no clear mean-reversion signal to exit; candidate for mean-reversion but already held.",
"symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "No price movement since entry, no signal to exit; holding aligns with strategy.",
"symbol": "JDW_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Positive unrealized PnL (92.56), no strong signal to sell; holding aligns with strategy.",
"symbol": "JMAT_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "No price movement since entry, no signal to exit; holding aligns with strategy.",
"symbol": "KGF_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "No price movement since entry, no signal to exit; holding aligns with strategy.",
"symbol": "MSLH_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "No price movement since entry, no signal to exit; holding aligns with strategy.",
"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "No price movement since entry, no signal to exit; holding aligns with strategy.",
"symbol": "PAG_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Already held, no significant price movement since entry; candidate for mean-reversion but no action needed.",
"symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "No price movement since entry, no signal to exit; holding aligns with strategy.",
"symbol": "STJ_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Positive unrealized PnL (868.19), no strong signal to sell; holding aligns with strategy.",
"symbol": "SYNT_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "No price movement since entry, no signal to exit; holding aligns with strategy.",
"symbol": "TPK_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Positive unrealized PnL (132.54), no strong signal to sell; holding aligns with strategy.",
"symbol": "UKW_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "No price movement since entry, no signal to exit; holding aligns with strategy.",
"symbol": "ESNT_CFD.UK"
}
],
"sell": [
{
"reason": "Significant unrealized loss (-325.99), no clear mean-reversion signal in recent data, and position size exceeds fixed_position_size due to price drop.",
"symbol": "MCG_CFD.UK"
}
]
},
"portfolio_rationale": "Portfolio adjustments focus on mean-reversion candidates with the highest scores. MCG_CFD.UK is sold due to significant unrealized losses and lack of mean-reversion signal. PAGE_CFD.UK and FUTR_CFD.UK are top candidates for mean-reversion and are already held; positions are increased to fixed_position_size to align with strategy. Other positions are held due to lack of clear signals or positive PnL, avoiding overtrading."
}Selection logs
#907 • stage1 • 2026-03-30T20:02:11.810541+00:00
{
"selected_stocks": [
{
"symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Extreme 1-day drop (-36.8%), far below MA50 (-31.7%) and MA200 (-40.6%), high volatility (193.2%), no earnings date known.",
"mean_reversion_score": 90
},
{
"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Large 1-day drop (-21.2%), below MA50 (-23.8%) and MA200 (-37.8%), high volatility (154.3%), no earnings date known.",
"mean_reversion_score": 85
},
{
"symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Significant 1-day drop (-26.8%), below MA50 (-22.1%) and MA200 (-17.6%), high volatility (154.0%), no earnings date known.",
"mean_reversion_score": 80
},
{
"symbol": "HIK_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Large 1-day drop (-19.6%), below MA50 (-15.7%) and MA200 (-28.9%), high volatility (155.6%), no earnings date known.",
"mean_reversion_score": 75
},
{
"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Large 1-day drop (-26.6%), below MA50 (-22.1%) and MA200 (-13.4%), high volatility (169.1%), no earnings date known.",
"mean_reversion_score": 70
}
],
"rejected_common_reasons": [
"No sector data to enforce concentration rule",
"No earnings date to confirm avoidance of earnings within 5 days",
"Extreme outliers in volatility (e.g., GRG_CFD.UK) suggest binary/event-driven moves"
]
}