Arena run #1146
meanrev-v1 • openai • openai/gpt-5.2-pro • EU • success
Run status
as_of: 2026-04-09T10:04:16.483403+00:00
started_at: 2026-04-09T12:44:55.227637+00:00
finished_at: 2026-04-09T12:47:01.141567+00:00
duration_ms: 125912
Inputs
{
"as_of": "2026-04-09T10:04:16.483403+00:00",
"dry_run": false,
"selected": [
{
"symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Very sharp 1D selloff (-36.8%) with deep dislocation vs MA200 (-40.6%) and MA50 (-31.7%); high 20D vol suggests potential snapback window.",
"mean_reversion_score": 92
},
{
"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Large 1D drop (-27.7%) while trading well below MA200 (-25.4%) and MA50 (-16.5%); elevated 20D vol supports short-horizon mean-reversion setup.",
"mean_reversion_score": 88
},
{
"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Heavy 1D drawdown (-26.6%) with price below MA50 (-22.1%) and below MA200 (-13.4%); volatility elevated, consistent with oversold bounce candidates.",
"mean_reversion_score": 85
},
{
"symbol": "ONTEX_CFD.BE",
"selection_reason": "Oversold trend state (MA200 -45.8%, MA50 -29.8%) plus meaningful 1D drop (-9.0%); fits short-term rebound screening.",
"mean_reversion_score": 78
},
{
"symbol": "ICG_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Notable 1D selloff (-15.2%) with price below MA200 (-16.2%) and MA50 (-12.3%); volatility not extreme vs peers, suitable for 2–10 day reversion watch.",
"mean_reversion_score": 74
}
],
"simulate_only": false,
"strict_replay": false,
"universe_symbols": [
"HAS_CFD.UK",
"MDM_CFD.FR",
"MGNS_CFD.UK",
"GEN_CFD.UK",
"BOY_CFD.UK",
"CRST_CFD.UK",
"PAGE_CFD.UK",
"FGP_CFD.UK",
"ICG_CFD.UK",
"SHC_CFD.UK",
"PAG_CFD.UK",
"CBG_CFD.UK",
"VCT_CFD.UK",
"DLN_CFD.UK",
"DOM_CFD.UK",
"ONTEX_CFD.BE",
"DHER_CFD.DE",
"IEP_CFD.BE",
"BIG_CFD.FR",
"OCDO_CFD.UK",
"ESNT_CFD.UK",
"CMCX_CFD.UK",
"MC_CFD.FR",
"GROW_CFD.UK",
"CDI_CFD.FR",
"AIXA_CFD.DE",
"SPX_CFD.UK",
"VIRI_CFD.FR",
"WKP_CFD.UK",
"CAP_CFD.FR",
"BYW6_CFD.DE",
"ZIL2_CFD.DE",
"SMIN_CFD.UK",
"BPOST_CFD.BE",
"DOCS_CFD.UK",
"VXXB_CFD.ETF",
"CRDA_CFD.UK",
"DEZ_CFD.DE",
"HUBS_CFD.US",
"ATG_CFD.UK",
"BOSS_CFD.DE",
"CLARI_CFD.FR",
"COTY_CFD.US",
"VTY_CFD.UK",
"MDV_CFD.PL",
"HMSO_CFD.UK",
"SGL_CFD.DE",
"WDAY_CFD.US",
"OR_CFD.FR",
"BRBY_CFD.UK"
]
}Outputs
{
"actions": {
"buy": [],
"hold": [
{
"reason": "No new mean-reversion catalyst or risk event provided; avoid overtrading and allow time for the existing setup to play out.",
"symbol": "ADBE_CFD.US"
},
{
"reason": "Position is modestly in profit; no updated signal indicating a superior redeploy or risk-driven exit—hold per overtrading rules.",
"symbol": "CLX_CFD.US"
},
{
"reason": "Position is in profit and no new adverse information is provided; maintain exposure rather than churn.",
"symbol": "COTY_CFD.US"
},
{
"reason": "No updated signal/news supplied to justify an exit; keep position to avoid unnecessary turnover.",
"symbol": "CRST_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Currently down, but no new risk event or replacement trade with clearer edge is provided; hold to avoid reactive selling.",
"symbol": "FICO_CFD.US"
},
{
"reason": "No incremental information suggesting an exit or better swap; hold under the avoid-overtrading constraint.",
"symbol": "HAS_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Still aligns with the provided mean-reversion candidate list; maintain position rather than rotate without stronger evidence.",
"symbol": "ICG_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "High mean-reversion score in the candidate list; hold for potential snapback window rather than churn.",
"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Top mean-reversion score in the candidate list; hold to allow the oversold rebound thesis to develop.",
"symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Small unrealized loss with no new information indicating a forced exit; hold and avoid overtrading.",
"symbol": "ULTA_CFD.US"
}
],
"sell": []
},
"portfolio_rationale": "Portfolio is already at the max_positions limit (10) with multiple holdings explicitly flagged as mean-reversion candidates (PAGE, OCDO, ICG). With no new price/fundamental/news data beyond the candidate notes and no risk events provided, the highest-compliance action is to HOLD existing positions and avoid churn; no BUYS are permitted unless a SELL frees capacity, and no SELL has a clearly superior replacement or risk justification within the provided information."
}Prompts & responses
#2215 • openrouter • openai/gpt-5.2-pro • 2026-04-09T12:44:55.280021+00:00
System prompt
You are an Arena strategy executor. You must follow the strategy rules strictly and output ONLY valid JSON. You are NOT allowed to invent prices, fundamentals, earnings dates, or sentiment. If a field is null/empty, treat it as unknown. You are a constrained selector (no narrative).
User prompt
{"task": "stage1_universe_scan", "region": "EU", "strategy": {"key": "meanrev-v1", "name": "Two-Stage LLM Mean-Reversion (Arena v1)", "rules": {"max_positions": 10, "max_buys_per_run": 2, "avoid_overtrading": true, "max_sells_per_run": 2, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "universe_symbols_eu": [], "universe_symbols_us": []}}, "selection_rules": {"horizon": "2-10 trading days", "target": "short-term mean reversion in liquid equities", "constraints": ["Select exactly 5 candidates", "Avoid earnings within 5 trading days (if known)", "Avoid highly binary/event-driven moves (if known)", "Avoid sector concentration: max 1 per sector unless clearly justified (sector may be unknown)"]}, "universe": [{"symbol": "HAS_CFD.UK", "name": "HAYS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 47.66, "change_1d_pct": -17.213826645822483, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -26.546854506980832, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -12.888674431016456, "volatility_20d_pct": 117.95597135078918, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "MDM_CFD.FR", "name": "Maisons Du Monde", "sector": "", "last_price": 0.881, "change_1d_pct": -23.788927335640132, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -52.221224948004654, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -33.44312824851928, "volatility_20d_pct": 18104.93330731392, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "MGNS_CFD.UK", "name": "MORGAN SINDALL GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 5370.0, "change_1d_pct": 19.599109131403125, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 32.00382943846654, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 15.63012691493826, "volatility_20d_pct": 90.38530398603771, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "GEN_CFD.UK", "name": "GENUIT GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 370.0, "change_1d_pct": 13.671274961597547, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 1.1384913963945476, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 7.521632190000593, "volatility_20d_pct": 112.82453945409682, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BOY_CFD.UK", "name": "BODYCOTE PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 775.4, "change_1d_pct": 24.163330664531625, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 28.652243313347768, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 18.63612217470385, "volatility_20d_pct": 103.46484337510964, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CRST_CFD.UK", "name": "CREST NICHOLSON HOLDINGS", "sector": "", "last_price": 118.83, "change_1d_pct": -12.817314746881891, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -28.150055914529826, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -15.848139991077058, "volatility_20d_pct": 236.5351415372937, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK", "name": "PAGEGROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 152.7, "change_1d_pct": -36.79635761589404, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -40.61156091058385, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -31.72721647345812, "volatility_20d_pct": 193.22753953431183, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "FGP_CFD.UK", "name": "FIRSTGROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 193.2, "change_1d_pct": 1.3109596224436304, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -4.044842646206826, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 1.7250076083144883, "volatility_20d_pct": 88.3516119820011, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ICG_CFD.UK", "name": "ICG Plc", "sector": "", "last_price": 1693.0, "change_1d_pct": -15.18545979199647, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -16.18296530905513, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -12.256151916578562, "volatility_20d_pct": 73.10253575454833, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SHC_CFD.UK", "name": "SHAFTESBURY CAPITAL PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 140.4, "change_1d_pct": -2.9045643153526868, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 0.26963533347688085, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -0.771073778544229, "volatility_20d_pct": 63.75522821252001, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "PAG_CFD.UK", "name": "PARAGON BANKING GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 852.5, "change_1d_pct": -3.399433427762044, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -1.3404962254783492, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.699141440891915, "volatility_20d_pct": 71.52779356208148, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK", "name": "CLOSE BROTHERS GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 372.74, "change_1d_pct": -26.625984251968504, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -13.365429078084645, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -22.129222788055436, "volatility_20d_pct": 169.0552301316783, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "VCT_CFD.UK", "name": "VICTREX PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 635.0, "change_1d_pct": -9.285714285714286, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -11.261564295119154, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -2.9181133396627645, "volatility_20d_pct": 130.4010909373053, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "DLN_CFD.UK", "name": "DERWENT LONDON PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 1953.0, "change_1d_pct": 10.401356698699837, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 5.069478604951705, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 12.150447212111025, "volatility_20d_pct": 115.39088732649292, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "DOM_CFD.UK", "name": "DOMINO'S PIZZA GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 183.13, "change_1d_pct": -0.3102885138813294, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -15.070952368916624, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 1.0777282376278619, "volatility_20d_pct": 87.92203351330001, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ONTEX_CFD.BE", "name": "Ontex Group NV", "sector": "", "last_price": 3.095, "change_1d_pct": -8.970588235294109, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -45.776050709466496, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -29.82368626312829, "volatility_20d_pct": 108.69637170664194, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "DHER_CFD.DE", "name": "DELIVERY HERO SE", "sector": "", "last_price": 16.289, "change_1d_pct": 0.10447394296952961, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -26.599410956780655, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -15.23633290593308, "volatility_20d_pct": 143.60854945931146, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "IEP_CFD.BE", "name": "IEP Invest NV", "sector": "", "last_price": 5.4, "change_1d_pct": 0.0, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 0.9951765451794659, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.5657756042326989, "volatility_20d_pct": 138.39532879660115, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BIG_CFD.FR", "name": "Bigben Interactive", "sector": "", "last_price": 0.29, "change_1d_pct": 7.011070110701101, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -71.8461635543733, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -47.19976695069551, "volatility_20d_pct": 208.2394066644476, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK", "name": "OCADO GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 191.8, "change_1d_pct": -27.731725697061027, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -25.425914067168765, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -16.54505218327368, "volatility_20d_pct": 249.00720326714767, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ESNT_CFD.UK", "name": "ESSENTRA PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 90.1, "change_1d_pct": -10.61507936507937, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -10.657490467074904, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -8.545188421272742, "volatility_20d_pct": 126.22890829663649, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CMCX_CFD.UK", "name": "CMC MARKETS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 336.5, "change_1d_pct": 6.487341772151889, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 33.727269096422944, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 13.399699398122245, "volatility_20d_pct": 207.2492443353413, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "MC_CFD.FR", "name": "LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton", "sector": "", "last_price": 499.65, "change_1d_pct": 6.89987163029524, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -8.075237598557983, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -1.441139046521478, "volatility_20d_pct": 62.212159342265885, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "GROW_CFD.UK", "name": "MOLTEN VENTURES PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 465.0, "change_1d_pct": 1.572739187418093, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 22.569628774815076, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -4.275686024250158, "volatility_20d_pct": 115.72658030340939, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CDI_CFD.FR", "name": "Christian Dior SE", "sector": "", "last_price": 456.8, "change_1d_pct": 2.8828828828828756, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -10.829294200979934, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -5.120025037678855, "volatility_20d_pct": 63.182632135450476, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, 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"earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "VIRI_CFD.FR", "name": "VIRIDIEN", "sector": "", "last_price": 127.1, "change_1d_pct": 32.258064516129025, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 86.88026988392838, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 29.097132641971314, "volatility_20d_pct": 297.97668648307325, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "WKP_CFD.UK", "name": "WORKSPACE GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 423.0, "change_1d_pct": 3.6764705882353033, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 1.8640028868691871, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 5.808194506978848, "volatility_20d_pct": 70.2233148398582, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CAP_CFD.FR", "name": "Capgemini", "sector": "", "last_price": 100.8, "change_1d_pct": -0.4444444444444473, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -20.008491162148466, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -5.819812372137334, "volatility_20d_pct": 63.88001546108049, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BYW6_CFD.DE", "name": "BayWa AG vNa", "sector": "", "last_price": 2.701, "change_1d_pct": 1.9245283018868076, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -53.425855116646595, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -9.078056202620266, "volatility_20d_pct": 156.3034682583357, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ZIL2_CFD.DE", "name": "ELRINGKLINGER AG", "sector": "", "last_price": 5.47, "change_1d_pct": -0.30982321851650285, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 25.153725153725137, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 21.93925775328589, "volatility_20d_pct": 5416.880074540502, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SMIN_CFD.UK", "name": "SMITHS GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 2410.0, "change_1d_pct": -2.900886381950041, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 8.724723729236384, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -1.2150629239554345, "volatility_20d_pct": 88.62035790812207, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BPOST_CFD.BE", "name": "Bpost", "sector": "", "last_price": 2.245, "change_1d_pct": 0.0, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 7.002592846793276, "volatility_20d_pct": 2622.8624681176075, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "DOCS_CFD.UK", "name": "DR. MARTENS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 64.5, "change_1d_pct": -3.5153328347045543, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -14.829841246785492, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -11.320702834987761, "volatility_20d_pct": 128.30568371469687, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "VXXB_CFD.ETF", "name": "IPATH SERIES B S&P 500 VIX", "sector": "", "last_price": 32.36, "change_1d_pct": -9.024458813606973, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -6.246921735301103, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 3.784477228992933, "volatility_20d_pct": 180.71815564662478, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CRDA_CFD.UK", "name": "CRODA INTERNATIONAL PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 2839.0, "change_1d_pct": -0.28099754127151044, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -0.572261096752058, "volatility_20d_pct": 5232.645582727379, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "DEZ_CFD.DE", "name": "Deutz AG", "sector": "", "last_price": 9.345, "change_1d_pct": 7.0079010649261475, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 2.2851901552283227, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -11.038465273110464, "volatility_20d_pct": 124.59838290952874, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "HUBS_CFD.US", "name": "HubSpot Inc", "sector": "", "last_price": 221.6, "change_1d_pct": -9.606363450948407, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -44.79525916832166, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -12.659211694206352, "volatility_20d_pct": 129.34490404762084, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ATG_CFD.UK", "name": "AUCTION TECHNOLOGY GROUP", "sector": "", "last_price": 313.0, "change_1d_pct": 0.3205128205128194, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.8343803356850588, "volatility_20d_pct": 2871.9337920464413, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BOSS_CFD.DE", "name": "Hugo Boss AG", "sector": "", "last_price": 36.365, "change_1d_pct": 0.9858372674257154, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -5.824458759322382, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.09126980631866122, "volatility_20d_pct": 44.082244703993894, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CLARI_CFD.FR", "name": "Clariane SE", "sector": "", "last_price": 3.874, "change_1d_pct": -2.4181360201511404, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.9358846089711603, "volatility_20d_pct": 3109.006288666479, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "COTY_CFD.US", "name": "Coty Inc", "sector": "", "last_price": 2.65, "change_1d_pct": -0.7490636704119868, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -12.425644415069403, "volatility_20d_pct": 7661.46272234243, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "VTY_CFD.UK", "name": "VISTRY GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 336.5, "change_1d_pct": -52.24240703945502, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -45.76092188057602, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -43.644091924608695, "volatility_20d_pct": 220.52645545975528, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "MDV_CFD.PL", "name": "Modivo S.A.", "sector": "", "last_price": 86.3, "change_1d_pct": -5.621172353455817, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -41.47482094889456, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -17.96468774299278, "volatility_20d_pct": 81.26543963924402, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "HMSO_CFD.UK", "name": "HAMMERSON PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 355.4, "change_1d_pct": 14.129736673089276, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 22.516025502913806, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 10.006914897239172, "volatility_20d_pct": 87.54938293511039, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SGL_CFD.DE", "name": "SGL Carbon SE", "sector": "", "last_price": 3.545, "change_1d_pct": 5.663189269746649, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 3.398741422935836, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -9.100699501528242, "volatility_20d_pct": 92.29220096966039, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "WDAY_CFD.US", "name": "", "sector": "", "last_price": 121.19, "change_1d_pct": -7.3612597462161755, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -41.004888430649224, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -15.258385357230765, "volatility_20d_pct": 85.7260973003909, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "OR_CFD.FR", "name": "", "sector": "", "last_price": 358.961, "change_1d_pct": 0.8742447660531116, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -4.312852384046395, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -3.76420945799798, "volatility_20d_pct": 47.03890159793636, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BRBY_CFD.UK", "name": "BURBERRY GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 1090.0, "change_1d_pct": 1.5370284117373068, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -10.223781637880636, "volatility_20d_pct": 3625.500236594713, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}], "output_schema": {"selected_stocks": [{"symbol": "string", "mean_reversion_score": "integer 0-100", "selection_reason": "short, concrete, indicator-based"}], "rejected_common_reasons": ["string"]}}Output JSON
{
"selected_stocks": [
{
"symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Very sharp 1D selloff (-36.8%) with deep dislocation vs MA200 (-40.6%) and MA50 (-31.7%); high 20D vol suggests potential snapback window.",
"mean_reversion_score": 92
},
{
"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Large 1D drop (-27.7%) while trading well below MA200 (-25.4%) and MA50 (-16.5%); elevated 20D vol supports short-horizon mean-reversion setup.",
"mean_reversion_score": 88
},
{
"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Heavy 1D drawdown (-26.6%) with price below MA50 (-22.1%) and below MA200 (-13.4%); volatility elevated, consistent with oversold bounce candidates.",
"mean_reversion_score": 85
},
{
"symbol": "ONTEX_CFD.BE",
"selection_reason": "Oversold trend state (MA200 -45.8%, MA50 -29.8%) plus meaningful 1D drop (-9.0%); fits short-term rebound screening.",
"mean_reversion_score": 78
},
{
"symbol": "ICG_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Notable 1D selloff (-15.2%) with price below MA200 (-16.2%) and MA50 (-12.3%); volatility not extreme vs peers, suitable for 2–10 day reversion watch.",
"mean_reversion_score": 74
}
],
"rejected_common_reasons": [
"Overbought/extended above moving averages (positive distance to MA50/MA200) which is opposite of long mean-reversion dip-buy setup",
"Move appears too extreme/highly volatile or very low-priced (potentially higher binary risk/poor signal quality for mean reversion)",
"Insufficient dislocation (near MA50/MA200 and small 1D move), weak mean-reversion trigger",
"Non-single-equity instrument (e.g., volatility ETP/ETF) not aligned with the stated equity mean-reversion target",
"Key technical fields missing (e.g., MA200 null) reducing confidence in the signal"
]
}#2216 • openrouter • openai/gpt-5.2-pro • 2026-04-09T12:46:18.789151+00:00
System prompt
You are an Arena portfolio manager. You must follow the strategy rules strictly and output ONLY valid JSON. You are NOT allowed to invent prices/fundamentals/news/earnings. If a field is null/empty, treat it as unknown. Avoid overtrading: if changes are marginal, prefer HOLD. Do not churn.
User prompt
{"task": "stage2_portfolio_management", "region": "EU", "strategy": {"key": "meanrev-v1", "name": "Two-Stage LLM Mean-Reversion (Arena v1)", "rules": {"max_positions": 10, "max_buys_per_run": 2, "avoid_overtrading": true, "max_sells_per_run": 2, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "universe_symbols_eu": [], "universe_symbols_us": []}}, "portfolio_constraints": {"initial_equity": 10000.0, "max_positions": 10, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "overtrading_rules": ["Max 2 SELL actions per run unless risk event forces more", "Max 2 BUY actions per run", "If no clear improvement vs current holdings, output HOLD for everything"]}, "current_portfolio": [{"symbol": "ADBE_CFD.US", "qty": 12.025494047380446, "avg_price": 249.47, "last_price": 239.05, "unrealized_pnl": -125.3056479737041, "opened_at": "2026-03-14T18:06:47.909233+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AMH_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 29.674999999999997, "last_price": 28.435000000000002, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T17:33:34.647633+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ARCAD_CFD.NL", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 28.6, "last_price": 30.0, "unrealized_pnl": 146.8531468531467, "opened_at": "2026-02-23T10:32:09.961595+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AUTO_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 482.8, "last_price": 482.8, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-04-03T10:08:21.824313+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 292.6, "last_price": 292.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T09:30:55.514112+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CABO_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 94.325, "last_price": 108.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-27T18:23:55.960577+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 342.92, "last_price": 342.92, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-20T10:26:40.341409+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CLX_CFD.US", "qty": 29.714738510301107, "avg_price": 100.96000000000001, "last_price": 105.715, "unrealized_pnl": 141.29358161648162, "opened_at": "2026-04-03T18:06:55.972569+00:00"}, {"symbol": "COTY_CFD.US", "qty": 1496.2593516209477, "avg_price": 2.005, "last_price": 2.075, "unrealized_pnl": 104.73815461346676, "opened_at": "2026-03-29T18:14:52.152268+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CRST_CFD.UK", "qty": 29.013539651837522, "avg_price": 103.4, "last_price": 103.4, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-04-07T18:08:48.203875+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CRWD_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 350.45000000000005, "last_price": 382.96500000000003, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-23T18:14:12.978497+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CSGP_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 47.235, "last_price": 40.870000000000005, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-03T18:03:34.247734+00:00"}, {"symbol": "DSY_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 17.881, "last_price": 17.45, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T09:30:55.514112+00:00"}, {"symbol": "EEFT_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 63.91, "last_price": 63.91, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-04-03T18:06:55.972569+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ETSY_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 44.13, "last_price": 50.769999999999996, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T00:47:27.070066+00:00"}, {"symbol": "EZJ_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 437.5, "last_price": 348.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-03T10:20:03.276878+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FBIN_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 50.974999999999994, "last_price": 54.185, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T17:30:52.485845+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FICO_CFD.US", "qty": 2.6609662855571625, "avg_price": 1127.4099999999999, "last_price": 1093.225, "unrealized_pnl": -90.96513247177145, "opened_at": "2026-03-14T18:06:47.909233+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FLO_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 9.875, "last_price": 9.885000000000002, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T00:47:27.070066+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 284.2, "last_price": 297.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-18T09:36:37.284518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "HAS_CFD.UK", "qty": 92.36453201970444, "avg_price": 32.48, "last_price": 32.48, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-04-07T18:08:48.203875+00:00"}, {"symbol": "HIK_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1236.0, "last_price": 1236.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-28T10:05:22.022266+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ICG_CFD.UK", "qty": 2.0053475935828877, "avg_price": 1496.0, "last_price": 1496.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-04-07T10:08:43.931517+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ITRK_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 3620.0, "last_price": 3620.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-28T10:05:22.022266+00:00"}, {"symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 185.0, "last_price": 172.2, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-17T10:04:29.123574+00:00"}, {"symbol": "MLCO_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 5.51, "last_price": 6.06, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T17:30:52.485845+00:00"}, {"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK", "qty": 16.129032258064516, "avg_price": 186.0, "last_price": 186.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-12T18:01:52.554929+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK", "qty": 22.57336343115124, "avg_price": 132.9, "last_price": 132.9, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-05T10:27:11.178069+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PAYC_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 121.22, "last_price": 134.24, "unrealized_pnl": 322.2240554363969, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T17:33:27.020111+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PSN_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1215.0, "last_price": 1087.73, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-12T18:01:52.554929+00:00"}, {"symbol": "RMV_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 424.3, "last_price": 424.3, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-18T09:36:37.284518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "TMV_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 4.781, "last_price": 4.467, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T09:33:49.074031+00:00"}, {"symbol": "TRN_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 184.5, "last_price": 204.2, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-05T10:27:11.178069+00:00"}, {"symbol": "UKW_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 92.35, "last_price": 92.35, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-25T17:57:28.313088+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ULTA_CFD.US", "qty": 5.605381165919282, "avg_price": 535.2, "last_price": 532.44, "unrealized_pnl": -15.470852017937169, "opened_at": "2026-03-15T18:15:23.812047+00:00"}, {"symbol": "UTG_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 461.2, "last_price": 457.2, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-30T10:23:56.039732+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WPP_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 232.09999999999997, "last_price": 232.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-28T10:51:05.818250+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ZS_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 159.76, "last_price": 138.82, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T17:32:49.140800+00:00"}], "candidates": [{"symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 92, "selection_reason": "Very sharp 1D selloff (-36.8%) with deep dislocation vs MA200 (-40.6%) and MA50 (-31.7%); high 20D vol suggests potential snapback window."}, {"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 88, "selection_reason": "Large 1D drop (-27.7%) while trading well below MA200 (-25.4%) and MA50 (-16.5%); elevated 20D vol supports short-horizon mean-reversion setup."}, {"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 85, "selection_reason": "Heavy 1D drawdown (-26.6%) with price below MA50 (-22.1%) and below MA200 (-13.4%); volatility elevated, consistent with oversold bounce candidates."}, {"symbol": "ONTEX_CFD.BE", "mean_reversion_score": 78, "selection_reason": "Oversold trend state (MA200 -45.8%, MA50 -29.8%) plus meaningful 1D drop (-9.0%); fits short-term rebound screening."}, {"symbol": "ICG_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 74, "selection_reason": "Notable 1D selloff (-15.2%) with price below MA200 (-16.2%) and MA50 (-12.3%); volatility not extreme vs peers, suitable for 2–10 day reversion watch."}], "output_schema": {"actions": {"sell": [{"symbol": "string", "reason": "string"}], "hold": [{"symbol": "string", "reason": "string"}], "buy": [{"symbol": "string", "position_size": "number (currency amount)", "reason": "string"}]}, "portfolio_rationale": "string"}}Output JSON
{
"actions": {
"buy": [],
"hold": [
{
"reason": "No new mean-reversion catalyst or risk event provided; avoid overtrading and allow time for the existing setup to play out.",
"symbol": "ADBE_CFD.US"
},
{
"reason": "Position is modestly in profit; no updated signal indicating a superior redeploy or risk-driven exit—hold per overtrading rules.",
"symbol": "CLX_CFD.US"
},
{
"reason": "Position is in profit and no new adverse information is provided; maintain exposure rather than churn.",
"symbol": "COTY_CFD.US"
},
{
"reason": "No updated signal/news supplied to justify an exit; keep position to avoid unnecessary turnover.",
"symbol": "CRST_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Currently down, but no new risk event or replacement trade with clearer edge is provided; hold to avoid reactive selling.",
"symbol": "FICO_CFD.US"
},
{
"reason": "No incremental information suggesting an exit or better swap; hold under the avoid-overtrading constraint.",
"symbol": "HAS_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Still aligns with the provided mean-reversion candidate list; maintain position rather than rotate without stronger evidence.",
"symbol": "ICG_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "High mean-reversion score in the candidate list; hold for potential snapback window rather than churn.",
"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Top mean-reversion score in the candidate list; hold to allow the oversold rebound thesis to develop.",
"symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Small unrealized loss with no new information indicating a forced exit; hold and avoid overtrading.",
"symbol": "ULTA_CFD.US"
}
],
"sell": []
},
"portfolio_rationale": "Portfolio is already at the max_positions limit (10) with multiple holdings explicitly flagged as mean-reversion candidates (PAGE, OCDO, ICG). With no new price/fundamental/news data beyond the candidate notes and no risk events provided, the highest-compliance action is to HOLD existing positions and avoid churn; no BUYS are permitted unless a SELL frees capacity, and no SELL has a clearly superior replacement or risk justification within the provided information."
}Selection logs
#1074 • stage1 • 2026-04-09T12:46:18.786660+00:00
{
"selected_stocks": [
{
"symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Very sharp 1D selloff (-36.8%) with deep dislocation vs MA200 (-40.6%) and MA50 (-31.7%); high 20D vol suggests potential snapback window.",
"mean_reversion_score": 92
},
{
"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Large 1D drop (-27.7%) while trading well below MA200 (-25.4%) and MA50 (-16.5%); elevated 20D vol supports short-horizon mean-reversion setup.",
"mean_reversion_score": 88
},
{
"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Heavy 1D drawdown (-26.6%) with price below MA50 (-22.1%) and below MA200 (-13.4%); volatility elevated, consistent with oversold bounce candidates.",
"mean_reversion_score": 85
},
{
"symbol": "ONTEX_CFD.BE",
"selection_reason": "Oversold trend state (MA200 -45.8%, MA50 -29.8%) plus meaningful 1D drop (-9.0%); fits short-term rebound screening.",
"mean_reversion_score": 78
},
{
"symbol": "ICG_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Notable 1D selloff (-15.2%) with price below MA200 (-16.2%) and MA50 (-12.3%); volatility not extreme vs peers, suitable for 2–10 day reversion watch.",
"mean_reversion_score": 74
}
],
"rejected_common_reasons": [
"Overbought/extended above moving averages (positive distance to MA50/MA200) which is opposite of long mean-reversion dip-buy setup",
"Move appears too extreme/highly volatile or very low-priced (potentially higher binary risk/poor signal quality for mean reversion)",
"Insufficient dislocation (near MA50/MA200 and small 1D move), weak mean-reversion trigger",
"Non-single-equity instrument (e.g., volatility ETP/ETF) not aligned with the stated equity mean-reversion target",
"Key technical fields missing (e.g., MA200 null) reducing confidence in the signal"
]
}