Arena run #1136

meanrev-v1openaiopenai/gpt-5.2-proUSfailed
Arena
Run status
as_of: 2026-04-08T18:35:49.666210+00:00
started_at: 2026-04-08T18:53:33.969004+00:00
finished_at: 2026-04-08T18:56:01.939981+00:00
duration_ms: 147968
error: result expired
Inputs
{
  "as_of": "2026-04-08T18:35:49.666210+00:00",
  "dry_run": false,
  "selected": [
    {
      "symbol": "TEAM_CFD.US",
      "selection_reason": "Deeply oversold vs MA200 (-55.7%) and MA50 (-21.7%) with a further 1D drop (-5.6%)—setup for short-term snapback if selling pressure fades.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 90
    },
    {
      "symbol": "WDAY_CFD.US",
      "selection_reason": "Strong oversold condition vs MA200 (-40.5%) and MA50 (-14.5%) plus a notable 1D selloff (-6.7%)—mean-reversion bounce candidate.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 85
    },
    {
      "symbol": "VEEV_CFD.US",
      "selection_reason": "Oversold vs MA200 (-31.5%) and MA50 (-8.0%) with a mild 1D decline (-3.0%)—potential for 2–10 day reversion toward moving averages.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 78
    },
    {
      "symbol": "TMUS_CFD.US",
      "selection_reason": "Moderately below MA200 (-10.2%) and MA50 (-5.5%) with a small 1D pullback (-2.3%)—lower-volatility mean-reversion setup relative to other candidates.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 60
    },
    {
      "symbol": "SYNA_CFD.US",
      "selection_reason": "Near MA200 (+4.9%) but below MA50 (-3.6%); recent 1D pop (+4.9%) could mean-revert short-term back toward MA50 (candidate despite weaker oversold signal).",
      "mean_reversion_score": 55
    }
  ],
  "simulate_only": false,
  "strict_replay": false,
  "universe_symbols": [
    "GEN_CFD.UK",
    "JUP_CFD.UK",
    "BOY_CFD.UK",
    "THG_CFD.UK",
    "CRST_CFD.UK",
    "FGP_CFD.UK",
    "VCT_CFD.UK",
    "DLN_CFD.UK",
    "TPK_CFD.UK",
    "DOM_CFD.UK",
    "BBY_CFD.UK",
    "IEP_CFD.BE",
    "MAB_CFD.UK",
    "WDAY_CFD.US",
    "IPO_CFD.UK",
    "IWG_CFD.UK",
    "VIRI_CFD.FR",
    "WKP_CFD.UK",
    "DOCS_CFD.UK",
    "ATG_CFD.UK",
    "TTK_CFD.DE",
    "VTY_CFD.UK",
    "HMSO_CFD.UK",
    "BRNK_CFD.DE",
    "MELE_CFD.BE",
    "LIO_CFD.UK",
    "MDV_CFD.PL",
    "AUTO_CFD.UK",
    "FRES_CFD.UK",
    "TEAM_CFD.US",
    "EXPN_CFD.UK",
    "III_CFD.UK",
    "CO_CFD.FR",
    "LTA_CFD.FR",
    "CPG_CFD.UK",
    "LLOY_CFD.UK",
    "BAR_CFD.BE",
    "SYNA_CFD.US",
    "TUI1_CFD.DE",
    "ITRK_CFD.UK",
    "IMI_CFD.UK",
    "VEEV_CFD.US",
    "CRBN_CFD.NL",
    "WEW_CFD.DE",
    "BYIT_CFD.UK",
    "UBI_CFD.FR",
    "TMUS_CFD.US",
    "LIGHT_CFD.NL",
    "WIZZ_CFD.UK",
    "LGEN_CFD.UK"
  ]
}
Outputs
{
  "actions": {
    "buy": [
      {
        "reason": "Highest mean-reversion score (90): deeply oversold vs MA200 and MA50 with a sharp 1D selloff—fits the strategy’s preference for strong oversold snapback candidates.",
        "symbol": "TEAM_CFD.US",
        "position_size": 3000
      },
      {
        "reason": "Very high mean-reversion score (85): materially below MA200 and MA50 with a notable 1D drop—attractive short-term reversion setup versus remaining alternatives.",
        "symbol": "WDAY_CFD.US",
        "position_size": 3000
      }
    ],
    "hold": [
      {
        "reason": "Currently down vs entry; absent a stronger alternative that clearly dominates after accounting for trading limits and already-full book, maintain as an existing mean-reversion hold rather than crystallizing a loss.",
        "symbol": "ADBE_CFD.US"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Modestly down vs entry; keep exposure to allow for reversion rather than realizing a small loss (no risk-trigger provided to force exit).",
        "symbol": "FICO_CFD.US"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Near flat vs entry; no clear improvement from swapping given constraints and desire to avoid unnecessary churn.",
        "symbol": "ULTA_CFD.US"
      },
      {
        "reason": "No new information indicating deterioration or a forced risk exit; hold to avoid overtrading.",
        "symbol": "CRST_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Flat vs entry; maintain position to avoid churn and because no higher-conviction switch is mandated beyond the two allowed rotations.",
        "symbol": "HAS_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Flat vs entry; hold given no risk event and to limit turnover.",
        "symbol": "ICG_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Flat vs entry; hold to avoid unnecessary trading.",
        "symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Flat vs entry; hold to avoid churn and stay within disciplined rotation limits.",
        "symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK"
      }
    ],
    "sell": [
      {
        "reason": "Position is already in profit (+~4.5% vs avg) and no longer presents a strong mean-reversion upside relative to the current, higher-score oversold candidates; rotating capital to deeper oversold setups while staying within max positions/leverage.",
        "symbol": "CLX_CFD.US"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Position is in profit (+~6% vs avg) and the mean-reversion edge is less compelling than the top oversold candidates; taking profits to redeploy into higher expected snapback opportunities without increasing turnover beyond limits.",
        "symbol": "COTY_CFD.US"
      }
    ]
  },
  "portfolio_rationale": "Portfolio is already at the max 10 active positions, so new entries require rotation. To follow the mean-reversion mandate without overtrading, we execute only two sells (both profitable positions with comparatively less reversion edge) and redeploy into the two highest-scoring, most oversold US candidates (TEAM, WDAY). All other active holdings are held to avoid churn, stay within the 2-sell/2-buy limits, and maintain gross leverage consistent with the fixed $3,000 position sizing under the 3.0x cap."
}
Prompts & responses
#2196openrouteropenai/gpt-5.2-pro2026-04-08T18:53:34.011603+00:00
System prompt
You are an Arena strategy executor. You must follow the strategy rules strictly and output ONLY valid JSON. You are NOT allowed to invent prices, fundamentals, earnings dates, or sentiment. If a field is null/empty, treat it as unknown. You are a constrained selector (no narrative).
User prompt
{"task": "stage1_universe_scan", "region": "US", "strategy": {"key": "meanrev-v1", "name": "Two-Stage LLM Mean-Reversion (Arena v1)", "rules": {"max_positions": 10, "max_buys_per_run": 2, "avoid_overtrading": true, "max_sells_per_run": 2, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "universe_symbols_eu": [], "universe_symbols_us": []}}, "selection_rules": {"horizon": "2-10 trading days", "target": "short-term mean reversion in liquid equities", "constraints": ["Select exactly 5 candidates", "Avoid earnings within 5 trading days (if known)", "Avoid highly binary/event-driven moves (if known)", "Avoid sector concentration: max 1 per sector unless clearly justified (sector may be unknown)"]}, "universe": [{"symbol": "GEN_CFD.UK", "name": "GENUIT GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 370.0, "change_1d_pct": 13.671274961597547, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 1.1384913963945476, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 7.521632190000593, "volatility_20d_pct": 112.82453945409682, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "JUP_CFD.UK", "name": "JUPITER FUND MANAGEMENT", "sector": "", "last_price": 193.6, "change_1d_pct": 22.06809583858764, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 57.65825374753912, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 19.274691586205538, "volatility_20d_pct": 96.15961444303547, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BOY_CFD.UK", "name": "BODYCOTE PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 775.4, "change_1d_pct": 24.163330664531625, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 28.652243313347768, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 18.63612217470385, "volatility_20d_pct": 103.46484337510964, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "THG_CFD.UK", "name": "THG PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 34.98, "change_1d_pct": -21.463852716659193, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 2.6990050116409536, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -18.650784422253118, "volatility_20d_pct": 150.5308117928466, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CRST_CFD.UK", "name": "CREST NICHOLSON HOLDINGS", "sector": "", "last_price": 118.83, "change_1d_pct": -12.817314746881891, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -28.150055914529826, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -15.848139991077058, "volatility_20d_pct": 236.5351415372937, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "FGP_CFD.UK", "name": "FIRSTGROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 193.2, "change_1d_pct": 1.3109596224436304, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -4.044842646206826, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 1.7250076083144883, "volatility_20d_pct": 88.3516119820011, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "VCT_CFD.UK", "name": "VICTREX PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 635.0, "change_1d_pct": -9.285714285714286, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -11.261564295119154, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -2.9181133396627645, "volatility_20d_pct": 130.4010909373053, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "DLN_CFD.UK", "name": "DERWENT LONDON PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 1953.0, "change_1d_pct": 10.401356698699837, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 5.069478604951705, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 12.150447212111025, "volatility_20d_pct": 115.39088732649292, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "TPK_CFD.UK", "name": "TRAVIS PERKINS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 601.57, "change_1d_pct": -1.21029986533977, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 0.5267641208837714, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -4.983077425595306, "volatility_20d_pct": 108.19399806448348, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "DOM_CFD.UK", "name": "DOMINO'S PIZZA GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 183.13, "change_1d_pct": -0.3102885138813294, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -15.070952368916624, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 1.0777282376278619, "volatility_20d_pct": 87.92203351330001, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BBY_CFD.UK", "name": "BALFOUR BEATTY PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 759.18, "change_1d_pct": 5.222453222453205, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 33.313724414201815, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 8.832962232591, "volatility_20d_pct": 54.25956465831767, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "IEP_CFD.BE", "name": "IEP Invest NV", "sector": "", "last_price": 5.4, "change_1d_pct": 0.0, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 0.9951765451794659, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.5657756042326989, "volatility_20d_pct": 138.39532879660115, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "MAB_CFD.UK", "name": "MITCHELLS & BUTLERS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 292.81, "change_1d_pct": 14.37890625, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 11.595067041457764, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 10.935906392690597, "volatility_20d_pct": 118.87119977937589, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "WDAY_CFD.US", "name": "", "sector": "", "last_price": 122.27, "change_1d_pct": -6.664122137404583, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -40.48215925099131, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -14.528062365783834, "volatility_20d_pct": 85.73404610436025, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "IPO_CFD.UK", "name": "IP GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 57.6, "change_1d_pct": -1.873935264054516, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 10.233643652522883, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -2.027486732888828, "volatility_20d_pct": 89.82123635439407, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK", "name": "IWG PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 177.0, "change_1d_pct": -26.786896095301127, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -17.645939421376646, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -22.14236071400294, "volatility_20d_pct": 154.02502086657427, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "VIRI_CFD.FR", "name": "VIRIDIEN", "sector": "", "last_price": 127.1, "change_1d_pct": 32.258064516129025, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 86.88026988392838, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 29.097132641971314, "volatility_20d_pct": 297.97668648307325, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "WKP_CFD.UK", "name": "WORKSPACE GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 423.0, "change_1d_pct": 3.6764705882353033, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 1.8640028868691871, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 5.808194506978848, "volatility_20d_pct": 70.2233148398582, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "DOCS_CFD.UK", "name": "DR. MARTENS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 64.5, "change_1d_pct": -3.5153328347045543, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -14.829841246785492, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -11.320702834987761, "volatility_20d_pct": 128.30568371469687, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ATG_CFD.UK", "name": "AUCTION TECHNOLOGY GROUP", "sector": "", "last_price": 326.5, "change_1d_pct": 12.006861063464846, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -24.987260470422935, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 5.84429056770146, "volatility_20d_pct": 172.45012969704524, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "TTK_CFD.DE", "name": "TAKKT AG", "sector": "", "last_price": 2.57, "change_1d_pct": -0.7338740826574042, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -40.87128576194365, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -16.848930360170332, "volatility_20d_pct": 129.01714408762436, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "VTY_CFD.UK", "name": "VISTRY GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 336.5, "change_1d_pct": -52.24240703945502, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -45.76092188057602, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -43.644091924608695, "volatility_20d_pct": 220.52645545975528, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "HMSO_CFD.UK", "name": "HAMMERSON PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 355.4, "change_1d_pct": 14.129736673089276, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 22.516025502913806, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 10.006914897239172, "volatility_20d_pct": 87.54938293511039, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BRNK_CFD.DE", "name": "Branicks Group AG", "sector": "", "last_price": 1.4, "change_1d_pct": -0.7795889440113446, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -25.976449936286873, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -16.890271412627932, "volatility_20d_pct": 210.0912237919874, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "MELE_CFD.BE", "name": "Melexis", "sector": "", "last_price": 56.7, 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"change_1d_pct": -5.671770541298249, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -40.86640051589807, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -17.445841527723783, "volatility_20d_pct": 81.27094889486109, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "AUTO_CFD.UK", "name": "AUTOTRADER GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 490.4, "change_1d_pct": -38.63326367424575, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -37.426260695289436, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -31.896720766000808, "volatility_20d_pct": 130.06763966702516, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "FRES_CFD.UK", "name": "FRESNILLO PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 3647.0, "change_1d_pct": 10.114734299516904, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 37.324458289936224, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -0.3138405663245303, "volatility_20d_pct": 135.84729509818166, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "TEAM_CFD.US", "name": "", "sector": "", "last_price": 64.54, "change_1d_pct": -5.588063194850779, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -55.746311306940875, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -21.663539196147006, "volatility_20d_pct": 127.56293520968964, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "EXPN_CFD.UK", "name": "EXPERIAN PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 2630.0, "change_1d_pct": -2.66469282013323, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -23.735371889742517, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -3.814856398872113, "volatility_20d_pct": 116.50608780776388, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "III_CFD.UK", "name": "3I GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 2715.5, "change_1d_pct": 9.18777643747486, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -25.498347602459738, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -11.210002811982978, "volatility_20d_pct": 107.76093142350246, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CO_CFD.FR", "name": "Casino Guichard Perrachon", "sector": "", "last_price": 0.162, "change_1d_pct": -0.6134969325153339, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -54.01907356948228, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -20.400943396226413, "volatility_20d_pct": 149.7796191854023, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "LTA_CFD.FR", "name": "ALTAMIR", "sector": "", "last_price": 24.3, "change_1d_pct": -5.263157894736836, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -13.983001200344214, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -12.497263288892979, "volatility_20d_pct": 84.62992206881624, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CPG_CFD.UK", "name": "COMPASS GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 29.67, "change_1d_pct": -98.59183673469389, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -98.77568763223537, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -98.59212699574421, "volatility_20d_pct": 601.9386788356263, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "LLOY_CFD.UK", "name": "LLOYDS BANKING GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 103.58, "change_1d_pct": 12.17240632445311, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 14.827846916897824, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 3.528856744768083, "volatility_20d_pct": 90.07258422165947, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BAR_CFD.BE", "name": "Barco", "sector": "", "last_price": 9.72, "change_1d_pct": 1.6204913748039784, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -21.893362743857235, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -8.395910612503387, "volatility_20d_pct": 63.24890264439872, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SYNA_CFD.US", "name": "SYNAPTICS INC", "sector": "", "last_price": 76.34, "change_1d_pct": 4.862637362637368, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 4.86991199252147, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -3.5760478557859354, "volatility_20d_pct": 104.14240803201646, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "TUI1_CFD.DE", "name": "Tui AG", "sector": "", "last_price": 7.29, "change_1d_pct": 8.449866111276405, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -8.832094104287835, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -5.536420957697419, "volatility_20d_pct": 105.90099658136496, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ITRK_CFD.UK", "name": "INTERTEK GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 3883.0, "change_1d_pct": -12.97624383684447, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -17.024253385492727, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -12.63260527771063, "volatility_20d_pct": 103.20771331354975, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "IMI_CFD.UK", "name": "IMI PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 2630.0, "change_1d_pct": -4.014598540145986, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 18.232876148230037, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.6097101453378162, "volatility_20d_pct": 99.14910574361261, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "VEEV_CFD.US", "name": "", "sector": "", "last_price": 169.64, "change_1d_pct": -2.9630477062121074, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -31.523507107302105, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -8.030971508250861, "volatility_20d_pct": 85.43764940929834, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CRBN_CFD.NL", "name": "Corbion", "sector": "", "last_price": 21.32, "change_1d_pct": 0.0, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 10.465176526668118, "volatility_20d_pct": 1678.2965924693424, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "WEW_CFD.DE", "name": "Westwing Group AG", "sector": "", "last_price": 14.35, "change_1d_pct": 5.128205128205132, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 14.103330704053318, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -10.396391378571824, "volatility_20d_pct": 107.88117479279897, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK", "name": "BYTES TECHNOLOGY GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 292.6, "change_1d_pct": -15.67723342939481, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -29.736098535636412, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -16.205740966343107, "volatility_20d_pct": 89.06390671800419, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "UBI_CFD.FR", "name": "UBISoft Entertainment", "sector": "", "last_price": 4.033, "change_1d_pct": 3.5961983046493895, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -43.34922261451835, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -2.2364650955333576, "volatility_20d_pct": 112.31820070188787, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "TMUS_CFD.US", "name": "", "sector": "", "last_price": 197.57, "change_1d_pct": -2.318797587263921, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -10.15955920570082, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -5.488434926369279, "volatility_20d_pct": 49.48007005655536, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "LIGHT_CFD.NL", "name": "SIGNIFY NV", "sector": "", "last_price": 19.315, "change_1d_pct": 4.2926565874730205, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -8.476155230885063, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.5146725922533957, "volatility_20d_pct": 63.103018017765514, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "WIZZ_CFD.UK", "name": "WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 956.5, "change_1d_pct": 8.87877063175868, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -18.339005990621494, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -15.753192879123413, "volatility_20d_pct": 214.84880940333238, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "LGEN_CFD.UK", "name": "LEGAL & GENERAL GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 263.45, "change_1d_pct": 6.272690601048803, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 4.92575541963729, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 1.9227004621630517, "volatility_20d_pct": 74.46258537750292, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}], "output_schema": {"selected_stocks": [{"symbol": "string", "mean_reversion_score": "integer 0-100", "selection_reason": "short, concrete, indicator-based"}], "rejected_common_reasons": ["string"]}}
Output JSON
{
  "selected_stocks": [
    {
      "symbol": "TEAM_CFD.US",
      "selection_reason": "Deeply oversold vs MA200 (-55.7%) and MA50 (-21.7%) with a further 1D drop (-5.6%)—setup for short-term snapback if selling pressure fades.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 90
    },
    {
      "symbol": "WDAY_CFD.US",
      "selection_reason": "Strong oversold condition vs MA200 (-40.5%) and MA50 (-14.5%) plus a notable 1D selloff (-6.7%)—mean-reversion bounce candidate.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 85
    },
    {
      "symbol": "VEEV_CFD.US",
      "selection_reason": "Oversold vs MA200 (-31.5%) and MA50 (-8.0%) with a mild 1D decline (-3.0%)—potential for 2–10 day reversion toward moving averages.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 78
    },
    {
      "symbol": "TMUS_CFD.US",
      "selection_reason": "Moderately below MA200 (-10.2%) and MA50 (-5.5%) with a small 1D pullback (-2.3%)—lower-volatility mean-reversion setup relative to other candidates.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 60
    },
    {
      "symbol": "SYNA_CFD.US",
      "selection_reason": "Near MA200 (+4.9%) but below MA50 (-3.6%); recent 1D pop (+4.9%) could mean-revert short-term back toward MA50 (candidate despite weaker oversold signal).",
      "mean_reversion_score": 55
    }
  ],
  "rejected_common_reasons": [
    "Non-US region symbols present in the provided universe (excluded for region=US scan).",
    "Extreme/suspicious 1D moves and/or anomalous technical readings (e.g., ~-98% 1D change, extreme volatility spikes) not suitable for standard mean-reversion.",
    "Missing/invalid key technical fields (e.g., MA200 distance null) reducing signal reliability.",
    "Highly extended momentum far above key moving averages (risk of trend continuation rather than 2–10 day reversion)."
  ]
}
#2197openrouteropenai/gpt-5.2-pro2026-04-08T18:54:18.510443+00:00
System prompt
You are an Arena portfolio manager. You must follow the strategy rules strictly and output ONLY valid JSON. You are NOT allowed to invent prices/fundamentals/news/earnings. If a field is null/empty, treat it as unknown. Avoid overtrading: if changes are marginal, prefer HOLD. Do not churn.
User prompt
{"task": "stage2_portfolio_management", "region": "US", "strategy": {"key": "meanrev-v1", "name": "Two-Stage LLM Mean-Reversion (Arena v1)", "rules": {"max_positions": 10, "max_buys_per_run": 2, "avoid_overtrading": true, "max_sells_per_run": 2, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "universe_symbols_eu": [], "universe_symbols_us": []}}, "portfolio_constraints": {"initial_equity": 10000.0, "max_positions": 10, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "overtrading_rules": ["Max 2 SELL actions per run unless risk event forces more", "Max 2 BUY actions per run", "If no clear improvement vs current holdings, output HOLD for everything"]}, "current_portfolio": [{"symbol": "ADBE_CFD.US", "qty": 12.025494047380446, "avg_price": 249.47, "last_price": 241.07, "unrealized_pnl": -101.01414999799582, "opened_at": "2026-03-14T18:06:47.909233+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AMH_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 29.674999999999997, "last_price": 28.435000000000002, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T17:33:34.647633+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ARCAD_CFD.NL", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 28.6, "last_price": 30.0, "unrealized_pnl": 146.8531468531467, "opened_at": "2026-02-23T10:32:09.961595+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AUTO_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 482.8, "last_price": 482.8, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-04-03T10:08:21.824313+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 292.6, "last_price": 292.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T09:30:55.514112+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CABO_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 94.325, "last_price": 108.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-27T18:23:55.960577+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 342.92, "last_price": 342.92, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-20T10:26:40.341409+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CLX_CFD.US", "qty": 29.714738510301107, "avg_price": 100.96000000000001, "last_price": 105.53999999999999, "unrealized_pnl": 136.0935023771786, "opened_at": "2026-04-03T18:06:55.972569+00:00"}, {"symbol": "COTY_CFD.US", "qty": 1496.2593516209477, "avg_price": 2.005, "last_price": 2.125, "unrealized_pnl": 179.55112219451388, "opened_at": "2026-03-29T18:14:52.152268+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CRST_CFD.UK", "qty": 29.013539651837522, "avg_price": 103.4, "last_price": 103.4, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-04-07T18:08:48.203875+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CRWD_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 350.45000000000005, "last_price": 382.96500000000003, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-23T18:14:12.978497+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CSGP_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 47.235, "last_price": 40.870000000000005, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-03T18:03:34.247734+00:00"}, {"symbol": "DSY_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 17.881, "last_price": 17.45, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T09:30:55.514112+00:00"}, {"symbol": "EEFT_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 63.91, "last_price": 63.91, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-04-03T18:06:55.972569+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ETSY_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 44.13, "last_price": 50.769999999999996, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T00:47:27.070066+00:00"}, {"symbol": "EZJ_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 437.5, "last_price": 348.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-03T10:20:03.276878+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FBIN_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 50.974999999999994, "last_price": 54.185, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T17:30:52.485845+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FICO_CFD.US", "qty": 2.6609662855571625, "avg_price": 1127.4099999999999, "last_price": 1094.855, "unrealized_pnl": -86.627757426313, "opened_at": "2026-03-14T18:06:47.909233+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FLO_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 9.875, "last_price": 9.885000000000002, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T00:47:27.070066+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 284.2, "last_price": 297.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-18T09:36:37.284518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "HAS_CFD.UK", "qty": 92.36453201970444, "avg_price": 32.48, "last_price": 32.48, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-04-07T18:08:48.203875+00:00"}, {"symbol": "HIK_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1236.0, "last_price": 1236.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-28T10:05:22.022266+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ICG_CFD.UK", "qty": 2.0053475935828877, "avg_price": 1496.0, "last_price": 1496.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-04-07T10:08:43.931517+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ITRK_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 3620.0, "last_price": 3620.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-28T10:05:22.022266+00:00"}, {"symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 185.0, "last_price": 172.2, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-17T10:04:29.123574+00:00"}, {"symbol": "MLCO_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 5.51, "last_price": 6.06, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T17:30:52.485845+00:00"}, {"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK", "qty": 16.129032258064516, "avg_price": 186.0, "last_price": 186.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-12T18:01:52.554929+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK", "qty": 22.57336343115124, "avg_price": 132.9, "last_price": 132.9, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-05T10:27:11.178069+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PAYC_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 121.22, "last_price": 134.24, "unrealized_pnl": 322.2240554363969, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T17:33:27.020111+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PSN_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1215.0, "last_price": 1087.73, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-12T18:01:52.554929+00:00"}, {"symbol": "RMV_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 424.3, "last_price": 424.3, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-18T09:36:37.284518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "TMV_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 4.781, "last_price": 4.467, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T09:33:49.074031+00:00"}, {"symbol": "TRN_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 184.5, "last_price": 204.2, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-05T10:27:11.178069+00:00"}, {"symbol": "UKW_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 92.35, "last_price": 92.35, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-25T17:57:28.313088+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ULTA_CFD.US", "qty": 5.605381165919282, "avg_price": 535.2, "last_price": 534.22, "unrealized_pnl": -5.493273542600998, "opened_at": "2026-03-15T18:15:23.812047+00:00"}, {"symbol": "UTG_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 461.2, "last_price": 457.2, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-30T10:23:56.039732+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WPP_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 232.09999999999997, "last_price": 232.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-28T10:51:05.818250+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ZS_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 159.76, "last_price": 138.82, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T17:32:49.140800+00:00"}], "candidates": [{"symbol": "TEAM_CFD.US", "mean_reversion_score": 90, "selection_reason": "Deeply oversold vs MA200 (-55.7%) and MA50 (-21.7%) with a further 1D drop (-5.6%)—setup for short-term snapback if selling pressure fades."}, {"symbol": "WDAY_CFD.US", "mean_reversion_score": 85, "selection_reason": "Strong oversold condition vs MA200 (-40.5%) and MA50 (-14.5%) plus a notable 1D selloff (-6.7%)—mean-reversion bounce candidate."}, {"symbol": "VEEV_CFD.US", "mean_reversion_score": 78, "selection_reason": "Oversold vs MA200 (-31.5%) and MA50 (-8.0%) with a mild 1D decline (-3.0%)—potential for 2–10 day reversion toward moving averages."}, {"symbol": "TMUS_CFD.US", "mean_reversion_score": 60, "selection_reason": "Moderately below MA200 (-10.2%) and MA50 (-5.5%) with a small 1D pullback (-2.3%)—lower-volatility mean-reversion setup relative to other candidates."}, {"symbol": "SYNA_CFD.US", "mean_reversion_score": 55, "selection_reason": "Near MA200 (+4.9%) but below MA50 (-3.6%); recent 1D pop (+4.9%) could mean-revert short-term back toward MA50 (candidate despite weaker oversold signal)."}], "output_schema": {"actions": {"sell": [{"symbol": "string", "reason": "string"}], "hold": [{"symbol": "string", "reason": "string"}], "buy": [{"symbol": "string", "position_size": "number (currency amount)", "reason": "string"}]}, "portfolio_rationale": "string"}}
Output JSON
{
  "actions": {
    "buy": [
      {
        "reason": "Highest mean-reversion score (90): deeply oversold vs MA200 and MA50 with a sharp 1D selloff—fits the strategy’s preference for strong oversold snapback candidates.",
        "symbol": "TEAM_CFD.US",
        "position_size": 3000
      },
      {
        "reason": "Very high mean-reversion score (85): materially below MA200 and MA50 with a notable 1D drop—attractive short-term reversion setup versus remaining alternatives.",
        "symbol": "WDAY_CFD.US",
        "position_size": 3000
      }
    ],
    "hold": [
      {
        "reason": "Currently down vs entry; absent a stronger alternative that clearly dominates after accounting for trading limits and already-full book, maintain as an existing mean-reversion hold rather than crystallizing a loss.",
        "symbol": "ADBE_CFD.US"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Modestly down vs entry; keep exposure to allow for reversion rather than realizing a small loss (no risk-trigger provided to force exit).",
        "symbol": "FICO_CFD.US"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Near flat vs entry; no clear improvement from swapping given constraints and desire to avoid unnecessary churn.",
        "symbol": "ULTA_CFD.US"
      },
      {
        "reason": "No new information indicating deterioration or a forced risk exit; hold to avoid overtrading.",
        "symbol": "CRST_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Flat vs entry; maintain position to avoid churn and because no higher-conviction switch is mandated beyond the two allowed rotations.",
        "symbol": "HAS_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Flat vs entry; hold given no risk event and to limit turnover.",
        "symbol": "ICG_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Flat vs entry; hold to avoid unnecessary trading.",
        "symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Flat vs entry; hold to avoid churn and stay within disciplined rotation limits.",
        "symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK"
      }
    ],
    "sell": [
      {
        "reason": "Position is already in profit (+~4.5% vs avg) and no longer presents a strong mean-reversion upside relative to the current, higher-score oversold candidates; rotating capital to deeper oversold setups while staying within max positions/leverage.",
        "symbol": "CLX_CFD.US"
      },
      {
        "reason": "Position is in profit (+~6% vs avg) and the mean-reversion edge is less compelling than the top oversold candidates; taking profits to redeploy into higher expected snapback opportunities without increasing turnover beyond limits.",
        "symbol": "COTY_CFD.US"
      }
    ]
  },
  "portfolio_rationale": "Portfolio is already at the max 10 active positions, so new entries require rotation. To follow the mean-reversion mandate without overtrading, we execute only two sells (both profitable positions with comparatively less reversion edge) and redeploy into the two highest-scoring, most oversold US candidates (TEAM, WDAY). All other active holdings are held to avoid churn, stay within the 2-sell/2-buy limits, and maintain gross leverage consistent with the fixed $3,000 position sizing under the 3.0x cap."
}
Selection logs
#1065stage12026-04-08T18:54:18.507027+00:00
{
  "selected_stocks": [
    {
      "symbol": "TEAM_CFD.US",
      "selection_reason": "Deeply oversold vs MA200 (-55.7%) and MA50 (-21.7%) with a further 1D drop (-5.6%)—setup for short-term snapback if selling pressure fades.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 90
    },
    {
      "symbol": "WDAY_CFD.US",
      "selection_reason": "Strong oversold condition vs MA200 (-40.5%) and MA50 (-14.5%) plus a notable 1D selloff (-6.7%)—mean-reversion bounce candidate.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 85
    },
    {
      "symbol": "VEEV_CFD.US",
      "selection_reason": "Oversold vs MA200 (-31.5%) and MA50 (-8.0%) with a mild 1D decline (-3.0%)—potential for 2–10 day reversion toward moving averages.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 78
    },
    {
      "symbol": "TMUS_CFD.US",
      "selection_reason": "Moderately below MA200 (-10.2%) and MA50 (-5.5%) with a small 1D pullback (-2.3%)—lower-volatility mean-reversion setup relative to other candidates.",
      "mean_reversion_score": 60
    },
    {
      "symbol": "SYNA_CFD.US",
      "selection_reason": "Near MA200 (+4.9%) but below MA50 (-3.6%); recent 1D pop (+4.9%) could mean-revert short-term back toward MA50 (candidate despite weaker oversold signal).",
      "mean_reversion_score": 55
    }
  ],
  "rejected_common_reasons": [
    "Non-US region symbols present in the provided universe (excluded for region=US scan).",
    "Extreme/suspicious 1D moves and/or anomalous technical readings (e.g., ~-98% 1D change, extreme volatility spikes) not suitable for standard mean-reversion.",
    "Missing/invalid key technical fields (e.g., MA200 distance null) reducing signal reliability.",
    "Highly extended momentum far above key moving averages (risk of trend continuation rather than 2–10 day reversion)."
  ]
}