Arena run #1129

meanrev-v1minimaxminimax/minimax-m2.1USsuccess
Arena
Run status
as_of: 2026-04-08T18:35:49.666210+00:00
started_at: 2026-04-08T18:43:11.233166+00:00
finished_at: 2026-04-08T18:43:26.242290+00:00
duration_ms: 15008
Inputs
{
  "as_of": "2026-04-08T18:35:49.666210+00:00",
  "dry_run": false,
  "selected": [
    {
      "symbol": "VIRI_CFD.FR",
      "selection_reason": "Extreme daily surge +32.26%, massively extended +86.88% above MA200 and +29.10% above MA50 with very high volatility 298% - strong mean reversion candidate for short-term pullback",
      "mean_reversion_score": 95
    },
    {
      "symbol": "VTY_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Severe decline -52.24% with extreme distance -45.76% below MA200 and -43.64% below MA50, high volatility 221% - significant oversold bounce potential",
      "mean_reversion_score": 93
    },
    {
      "symbol": "JUP_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Strong rally +22.07% extended +57.66% above MA200 and +19.27% above MA50, volatility 96% - overbought conditions likely to correct",
      "mean_reversion_score": 88
    },
    {
      "symbol": "AUTO_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Sharp drop -38.63% trading -37.43% below MA200 and -31.90% below MA50, elevated volatility 130% - oversold with mean reversion upside",
      "mean_reversion_score": 86
    },
    {
      "symbol": "BOY_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Notable gain +24.16% positioned +28.65% above MA200 and +18.64% above MA50, volatility 103% - extended mover prone to short-term reversion",
      "mean_reversion_score": 82
    }
  ],
  "simulate_only": false,
  "strict_replay": false,
  "universe_symbols": [
    "GEN_CFD.UK",
    "JUP_CFD.UK",
    "BOY_CFD.UK",
    "THG_CFD.UK",
    "CRST_CFD.UK",
    "FGP_CFD.UK",
    "VCT_CFD.UK",
    "DLN_CFD.UK",
    "TPK_CFD.UK",
    "DOM_CFD.UK",
    "BBY_CFD.UK",
    "IEP_CFD.BE",
    "MAB_CFD.UK",
    "WDAY_CFD.US",
    "IPO_CFD.UK",
    "IWG_CFD.UK",
    "VIRI_CFD.FR",
    "WKP_CFD.UK",
    "DOCS_CFD.UK",
    "ATG_CFD.UK",
    "TTK_CFD.DE",
    "VTY_CFD.UK",
    "HMSO_CFD.UK",
    "BRNK_CFD.DE",
    "MELE_CFD.BE",
    "LIO_CFD.UK",
    "MDV_CFD.PL",
    "AUTO_CFD.UK",
    "FRES_CFD.UK",
    "TEAM_CFD.US",
    "EXPN_CFD.UK",
    "III_CFD.UK",
    "CO_CFD.FR",
    "LTA_CFD.FR",
    "CPG_CFD.UK",
    "LLOY_CFD.UK",
    "BAR_CFD.BE",
    "SYNA_CFD.US",
    "TUI1_CFD.DE",
    "ITRK_CFD.UK",
    "IMI_CFD.UK",
    "VEEV_CFD.US",
    "CRBN_CFD.NL",
    "WEW_CFD.DE",
    "BYIT_CFD.UK",
    "UBI_CFD.FR",
    "TMUS_CFD.US",
    "LIGHT_CFD.NL",
    "WIZZ_CFD.UK",
    "LGEN_CFD.UK"
  ]
}
Outputs
{
  "raw": {
    "id": "gen-1775673802-NEmZL25UbYKkaR3B3y6I",
    "model": "minimax/minimax-m2.1",
    "usage": {
      "cost": 0,
      "is_byok": false,
      "cost_details": {
        "upstream_inference_cost": 0,
        "upstream_inference_prompt_cost": 0,
        "upstream_inference_completions_cost": 0
      },
      "total_tokens": 0,
      "prompt_tokens": 0,
      "completion_tokens": 0,
      "prompt_tokens_details": {
        "audio_tokens": 0,
        "video_tokens": 0,
        "cached_tokens": 0,
        "cache_write_tokens": 0
      },
      "completion_tokens_details": {
        "audio_tokens": 0,
        "image_tokens": 0,
        "reasoning_tokens": 0
      }
    },
    "object": "chat.completion",
    "choices": [
      {
        "index": 0,
        "message": {
          "role": "assistant",
          "content": null,
          "refusal": null,
          "reasoning": null
        },
        "logprobs": null,
        "finish_reason": null,
        "native_finish_reason": null
      }
    ],
    "created": 1775673802,
    "provider": "Minimax",
    "system_fingerprint": null
  }
}
Prompts & responses
#2183openrouterminimax/minimax-m2.12026-04-08T18:43:11.274711+00:00
System prompt
You are an Arena strategy executor. You must follow the strategy rules strictly and output ONLY valid JSON. You are NOT allowed to invent prices, fundamentals, earnings dates, or sentiment. If a field is null/empty, treat it as unknown. You are a constrained selector (no narrative).
User prompt
{"task": "stage1_universe_scan", "region": "US", "strategy": {"key": "meanrev-v1", "name": "Two-Stage LLM Mean-Reversion (Arena v1)", "rules": {"max_positions": 10, "max_buys_per_run": 2, "avoid_overtrading": true, "max_sells_per_run": 2, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "universe_symbols_eu": [], "universe_symbols_us": []}}, "selection_rules": {"horizon": "2-10 trading days", "target": "short-term mean reversion in liquid equities", "constraints": ["Select exactly 5 candidates", "Avoid earnings within 5 trading days (if known)", "Avoid highly binary/event-driven moves (if known)", "Avoid sector concentration: max 1 per sector unless clearly justified (sector may be unknown)"]}, "universe": [{"symbol": "GEN_CFD.UK", "name": "GENUIT GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 370.0, "change_1d_pct": 13.671274961597547, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 1.1384913963945476, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 7.521632190000593, "volatility_20d_pct": 112.82453945409682, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "JUP_CFD.UK", "name": "JUPITER FUND MANAGEMENT", "sector": "", "last_price": 193.6, "change_1d_pct": 22.06809583858764, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 57.65825374753912, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 19.274691586205538, "volatility_20d_pct": 96.15961444303547, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BOY_CFD.UK", "name": "BODYCOTE PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 775.4, "change_1d_pct": 24.163330664531625, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 28.652243313347768, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 18.63612217470385, "volatility_20d_pct": 103.46484337510964, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "THG_CFD.UK", "name": "THG PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 34.98, "change_1d_pct": -21.463852716659193, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 2.6990050116409536, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -18.650784422253118, "volatility_20d_pct": 150.5308117928466, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CRST_CFD.UK", "name": "CREST NICHOLSON HOLDINGS", "sector": "", "last_price": 118.83, "change_1d_pct": -12.817314746881891, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -28.150055914529826, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -15.848139991077058, "volatility_20d_pct": 236.5351415372937, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "FGP_CFD.UK", "name": "FIRSTGROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 193.2, "change_1d_pct": 1.3109596224436304, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -4.044842646206826, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 1.7250076083144883, "volatility_20d_pct": 88.3516119820011, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "VCT_CFD.UK", "name": "VICTREX PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 635.0, "change_1d_pct": -9.285714285714286, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -11.261564295119154, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -2.9181133396627645, "volatility_20d_pct": 130.4010909373053, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "DLN_CFD.UK", "name": "DERWENT LONDON PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 1953.0, "change_1d_pct": 10.401356698699837, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 5.069478604951705, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 12.150447212111025, "volatility_20d_pct": 115.39088732649292, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "TPK_CFD.UK", "name": "TRAVIS PERKINS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 601.57, "change_1d_pct": -1.21029986533977, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 0.5267641208837714, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -4.983077425595306, "volatility_20d_pct": 108.19399806448348, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "DOM_CFD.UK", "name": "DOMINO'S PIZZA GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 183.13, "change_1d_pct": -0.3102885138813294, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -15.070952368916624, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 1.0777282376278619, "volatility_20d_pct": 87.92203351330001, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BBY_CFD.UK", "name": "BALFOUR BEATTY PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 759.18, "change_1d_pct": 5.222453222453205, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 33.313724414201815, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 8.832962232591, "volatility_20d_pct": 54.25956465831767, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, 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"news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK", "name": "IWG PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 177.0, "change_1d_pct": -26.786896095301127, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -17.645939421376646, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -22.14236071400294, "volatility_20d_pct": 154.02502086657427, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "VIRI_CFD.FR", "name": "VIRIDIEN", "sector": "", "last_price": 127.1, "change_1d_pct": 32.258064516129025, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 86.88026988392838, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 29.097132641971314, "volatility_20d_pct": 297.97668648307325, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "WKP_CFD.UK", "name": "WORKSPACE GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 423.0, "change_1d_pct": 3.6764705882353033, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 1.8640028868691871, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 5.808194506978848, "volatility_20d_pct": 70.2233148398582, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "DOCS_CFD.UK", "name": "DR. MARTENS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 64.5, "change_1d_pct": -3.5153328347045543, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -14.829841246785492, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -11.320702834987761, "volatility_20d_pct": 128.30568371469687, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ATG_CFD.UK", "name": "AUCTION TECHNOLOGY GROUP", "sector": "", "last_price": 326.5, "change_1d_pct": 12.006861063464846, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -24.987260470422935, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 5.84429056770146, "volatility_20d_pct": 172.45012969704524, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "TTK_CFD.DE", "name": "TAKKT AG", "sector": "", "last_price": 2.57, "change_1d_pct": -0.7338740826574042, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -40.87128576194365, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -16.848930360170332, "volatility_20d_pct": 129.01714408762436, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "VTY_CFD.UK", "name": "VISTRY GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 336.5, "change_1d_pct": -52.24240703945502, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -45.76092188057602, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -43.644091924608695, "volatility_20d_pct": 220.52645545975528, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "HMSO_CFD.UK", "name": "HAMMERSON PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 355.4, "change_1d_pct": 14.129736673089276, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 22.516025502913806, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 10.006914897239172, "volatility_20d_pct": 87.54938293511039, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BRNK_CFD.DE", "name": "Branicks Group AG", "sector": "", "last_price": 1.4, "change_1d_pct": -0.7795889440113446, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -25.976449936286873, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -16.890271412627932, "volatility_20d_pct": 210.0912237919874, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "MELE_CFD.BE", "name": "Melexis", "sector": "", "last_price": 56.7, "change_1d_pct": 2.8105167724388203, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -7.6282226570375204, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 1.7787040178355085, "volatility_20d_pct": 86.76068560618484, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "LIO_CFD.UK", "name": "LIONTRUST ASSET MANAGEMENT", "sector": "", "last_price": 259.0, "change_1d_pct": 9.282700421940927, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -20.255122030446227, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 1.3575652269196326, "volatility_20d_pct": 159.60042022323034, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "MDV_CFD.PL", "name": "Modivo S.A.", "sector": "", "last_price": 87.48, 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-2.66469282013323, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -23.735371889742517, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -3.814856398872113, "volatility_20d_pct": 116.50608780776388, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "III_CFD.UK", "name": "3I GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 2715.5, "change_1d_pct": 9.18777643747486, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -25.498347602459738, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -11.210002811982978, "volatility_20d_pct": 107.76093142350246, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CO_CFD.FR", "name": "Casino Guichard Perrachon", "sector": "", "last_price": 0.162, "change_1d_pct": -0.6134969325153339, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -54.01907356948228, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -20.400943396226413, "volatility_20d_pct": 149.7796191854023, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "LTA_CFD.FR", "name": "ALTAMIR", "sector": "", "last_price": 24.3, "change_1d_pct": -5.263157894736836, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -13.983001200344214, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -12.497263288892979, "volatility_20d_pct": 84.62992206881624, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CPG_CFD.UK", "name": "COMPASS GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 29.67, "change_1d_pct": -98.59183673469389, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -98.77568763223537, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -98.59212699574421, "volatility_20d_pct": 601.9386788356263, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "LLOY_CFD.UK", "name": "LLOYDS BANKING GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 103.58, "change_1d_pct": 12.17240632445311, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 14.827846916897824, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 3.528856744768083, "volatility_20d_pct": 90.07258422165947, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BAR_CFD.BE", "name": "Barco", "sector": "", "last_price": 9.72, "change_1d_pct": 1.6204913748039784, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -21.893362743857235, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -8.395910612503387, "volatility_20d_pct": 63.24890264439872, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SYNA_CFD.US", "name": "SYNAPTICS INC", "sector": "", "last_price": 76.34, "change_1d_pct": 4.862637362637368, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 4.86991199252147, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -3.5760478557859354, "volatility_20d_pct": 104.14240803201646, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "TUI1_CFD.DE", "name": "Tui AG", "sector": "", "last_price": 7.29, "change_1d_pct": 8.449866111276405, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -8.832094104287835, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -5.536420957697419, "volatility_20d_pct": 105.90099658136496, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ITRK_CFD.UK", "name": "INTERTEK GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 3883.0, "change_1d_pct": -12.97624383684447, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -17.024253385492727, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -12.63260527771063, "volatility_20d_pct": 103.20771331354975, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "IMI_CFD.UK", "name": "IMI PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 2630.0, "change_1d_pct": -4.014598540145986, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 18.232876148230037, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.6097101453378162, "volatility_20d_pct": 99.14910574361261, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "VEEV_CFD.US", "name": "", "sector": "", "last_price": 169.64, "change_1d_pct": -2.9630477062121074, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -31.523507107302105, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -8.030971508250861, "volatility_20d_pct": 85.43764940929834, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CRBN_CFD.NL", "name": "Corbion", "sector": "", "last_price": 21.32, "change_1d_pct": 0.0, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 10.465176526668118, "volatility_20d_pct": 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89.06390671800419, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "UBI_CFD.FR", "name": "UBISoft Entertainment", "sector": "", "last_price": 4.033, "change_1d_pct": 3.5961983046493895, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -43.34922261451835, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -2.2364650955333576, "volatility_20d_pct": 112.31820070188787, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "TMUS_CFD.US", "name": "", "sector": "", "last_price": 197.57, "change_1d_pct": -2.318797587263921, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -10.15955920570082, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -5.488434926369279, "volatility_20d_pct": 49.48007005655536, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "LIGHT_CFD.NL", "name": "SIGNIFY NV", "sector": "", "last_price": 19.315, "change_1d_pct": 4.2926565874730205, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -8.476155230885063, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.5146725922533957, "volatility_20d_pct": 63.103018017765514, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "WIZZ_CFD.UK", "name": "WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 956.5, "change_1d_pct": 8.87877063175868, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -18.339005990621494, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -15.753192879123413, "volatility_20d_pct": 214.84880940333238, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "LGEN_CFD.UK", "name": "LEGAL & GENERAL GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 263.45, "change_1d_pct": 6.272690601048803, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 4.92575541963729, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 1.9227004621630517, "volatility_20d_pct": 74.46258537750292, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}], "output_schema": {"selected_stocks": [{"symbol": "string", "mean_reversion_score": "integer 0-100", "selection_reason": "short, concrete, indicator-based"}], "rejected_common_reasons": ["string"]}}
Output JSON
{
  "selected_stocks": [
    {
      "symbol": "VIRI_CFD.FR",
      "selection_reason": "Extreme daily surge +32.26%, massively extended +86.88% above MA200 and +29.10% above MA50 with very high volatility 298% - strong mean reversion candidate for short-term pullback",
      "mean_reversion_score": 95
    },
    {
      "symbol": "VTY_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Severe decline -52.24% with extreme distance -45.76% below MA200 and -43.64% below MA50, high volatility 221% - significant oversold bounce potential",
      "mean_reversion_score": 93
    },
    {
      "symbol": "JUP_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Strong rally +22.07% extended +57.66% above MA200 and +19.27% above MA50, volatility 96% - overbought conditions likely to correct",
      "mean_reversion_score": 88
    },
    {
      "symbol": "AUTO_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Sharp drop -38.63% trading -37.43% below MA200 and -31.90% below MA50, elevated volatility 130% - oversold with mean reversion upside",
      "mean_reversion_score": 86
    },
    {
      "symbol": "BOY_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Notable gain +24.16% positioned +28.65% above MA200 and +18.64% above MA50, volatility 103% - extended mover prone to short-term reversion",
      "mean_reversion_score": 82
    }
  ],
  "rejected_common_reasons": [
    "Stocks with moderate daily moves (<10%) lack sufficient dislocation for mean reversion",
    "Low volatility stocks (<70%) offer limited reversion opportunities",
    "Stocks near their moving averages show no significant deviation",
    "Extreme movers selected based on distance from MA200/MA50 and volatility criteria"
  ]
}
#2184openrouterminimax/minimax-m2.12026-04-08T18:43:22.078245+00:00
System prompt
You are an Arena portfolio manager. You must follow the strategy rules strictly and output ONLY valid JSON. You are NOT allowed to invent prices/fundamentals/news/earnings. If a field is null/empty, treat it as unknown. Avoid overtrading: if changes are marginal, prefer HOLD. Do not churn.
User prompt
{"task": "stage2_portfolio_management", "region": "US", "strategy": {"key": "meanrev-v1", "name": "Two-Stage LLM Mean-Reversion (Arena v1)", "rules": {"max_positions": 10, "max_buys_per_run": 2, "avoid_overtrading": true, "max_sells_per_run": 2, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "universe_symbols_eu": [], "universe_symbols_us": []}}, "portfolio_constraints": {"initial_equity": 10000.0, "max_positions": 10, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "overtrading_rules": ["Max 2 SELL actions per run unless risk event forces more", "Max 2 BUY actions per run", "If no clear improvement vs current holdings, output HOLD for everything"]}, "current_portfolio": [{"symbol": "ABF_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1868.5, "last_price": 1849.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-06T18:02:13.212382+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AEO_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 22.265, "last_price": 18.64, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-03T21:11:27.888829+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AGFB_CFD.BE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 0.465, "last_price": 0.452, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-03T21:11:27.888829+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AML_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 36.92, "last_price": 36.04, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-04T10:26:53.527562+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ATG_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 296.0, "last_price": 326.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-04T18:49:26.891792+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ATO_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 40.34, "last_price": 39.505, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-25T10:57:06.928276+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AUTO_CFD.UK", "qty": 18.64125932062966, "avg_price": 482.79999999999995, "last_price": 482.8, "unrealized_pnl": 1.0596329116554933e-12, "opened_at": "2026-03-19T18:04:14.272849+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BIG_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 0.453, "last_price": 0.296, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-22T09:32:59.506254+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BTRW_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 250.8, "last_price": 272.44, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-23T18:04:09.108429+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 292.6, "last_price": 289.6, "unrealized_pnl": -61.517429938482564, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T09:30:55.514112+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 342.91999999999996, "last_price": 342.92, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-13T18:17:31.188931+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CCL_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1945.9999999999998, "last_price": 1989.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-06T18:02:13.212382+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CRST_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 118.83, "last_price": 118.83, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-23T10:03:51.599067+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CRWD_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 349.265, "last_price": 365.38, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-24T18:14:37.115518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "DKNG_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 25.28, "last_price": 24.91, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-05T18:20:59.102726+00:00"}, {"symbol": "DSY_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 17.881, "last_price": 17.133, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T09:30:55.514112+00:00"}, {"symbol": "DT_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 34.105000000000004, "last_price": 35.864999999999995, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-24T18:14:37.115518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ERA_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 47.4, "last_price": 48.88, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T17:33:27.020111+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 284.2, "last_price": 297.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T00:47:27.070066+00:00"}, {"symbol": "GO_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 6.53, "last_price": 6.34, "unrealized_pnl": -87.28943338437996, "opened_at": "2026-03-05T18:20:59.102726+00:00"}, {"symbol": "HAIN_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 0.63, "last_price": 0.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-20T18:25:08.105367+00:00"}, {"symbol": "HIK_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1409.0, "last_price": 1244.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-26T10:33:24.101894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "HYQ_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 82.3, "last_price": 77.3, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-19T10:09:24.325041+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ICG_CFD.UK", "qty": 2.0053475935828877, "avg_price": 1496.0, "last_price": 1496.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-31T17:54:15.044829+00:00"}, {"symbol": "IHG_CFD.UK", "qty": 23.032629558541267, "avg_price": 130.25, "last_price": 139.75, "unrealized_pnl": 218.80998080614202, "opened_at": "2026-04-02T18:04:13.492519+00:00"}, {"symbol": "INF_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 795.2, "last_price": 785.85, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-02T18:21:09.503139+00:00"}, {"symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK", "qty": 34.84320557491289, "avg_price": 172.2, "last_price": 172.2, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-28T18:06:26.607078+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LIO_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 250.0, "last_price": 250.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-26T10:33:24.101894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LMND_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 48.96, "last_price": 52.07, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-24T11:23:36.694156+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LMP_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 181.3, "last_price": 181.3, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-23T10:03:51.599067+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LPE_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 88.414, "last_price": 86.679, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-02T18:21:09.503139+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LXS_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 13.14, "last_price": 13.24, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-06T10:33:43.857578+00:00"}, {"symbol": "MAN_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 25.68, "last_price": 27.94, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-25T10:57:06.928276+00:00"}, {"symbol": "MCG_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 17.39, "last_price": 19.28, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-31T10:31:52.715854+00:00"}, {"symbol": "MDB_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 252.01, "last_price": 263.69, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-04T10:26:53.527562+00:00"}, {"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 204.3, "last_price": 204.3, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-22T09:32:59.506254+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK", "qty": 67.72009029345372, "avg_price": 132.9, "last_price": 132.9, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-06T10:33:43.857578+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PBB_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 2.826, "last_price": 2.7640000000000002, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-19T10:09:24.325041+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PROX_CFD.BE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 6.98, "last_price": 7.3, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-01T10:30:13.622938+00:00"}, {"symbol": "RCO_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 44.34, "last_price": 43.58, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-23T10:32:09.961595+00:00"}, {"symbol": "RIVN_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 15.62, "last_price": 15.1, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-12T18:01:52.554929+00:00"}, {"symbol": "RMV_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 424.3, "last_price": 417.16, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T00:47:27.070066+00:00"}, {"symbol": "RSW_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 3790.0000000000005, "last_price": 3790.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-12T18:01:52.554929+00:00"}, {"symbol": "SGRO_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 789.8, "last_price": 735.4, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-08T18:08:31.007911+00:00"}, {"symbol": "SYNT_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 27.2, "last_price": 34.9, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-21T10:00:02.317290+00:00"}, {"symbol": "TCAP_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 247.99999999999997, "last_price": 255.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-04T18:49:26.891792+00:00"}, {"symbol": "TRN_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 184.5, "last_price": 204.2, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-08T18:08:31.007911+00:00"}, {"symbol": "TRST_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 151.8, "last_price": 224.82, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T09:33:49.074031+00:00"}, {"symbol": "UKW_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 92.35, "last_price": 94.79, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-25T17:57:28.313088+00:00"}, {"symbol": "UTG_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 461.2, "last_price": 461.2, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-10T18:24:41.570614+00:00"}, {"symbol": "VIRI_CFD.FR", "qty": 24.23263327948304, "avg_price": 123.79999999999998, "last_price": 123.8, "unrealized_pnl": 3.4436643090150254e-13, "opened_at": "2026-04-07T10:08:43.931517+00:00"}, {"symbol": "VTY_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 385.0, "last_price": 354.1, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-10T18:24:41.570614+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WIZZ_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 908.5, "last_price": 878.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-03T10:20:03.276878+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WPP_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 263.4, "last_price": 257.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-27T18:23:55.960577+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WTB_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 2345.0, "last_price": 2308.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-13T18:17:31.188931+00:00"}], "candidates": [{"symbol": "VIRI_CFD.FR", "mean_reversion_score": 95, "selection_reason": "Extreme daily surge +32.26%, massively extended +86.88% above MA200 and +29.10% above MA50 with very high volatility 298% - strong mean reversion candidate for short-term pullback"}, {"symbol": "VTY_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 93, "selection_reason": "Severe decline -52.24% with extreme distance -45.76% below MA200 and -43.64% below MA50, high volatility 221% - significant oversold bounce potential"}, {"symbol": "JUP_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 88, "selection_reason": "Strong rally +22.07% extended +57.66% above MA200 and +19.27% above MA50, volatility 96% - overbought conditions likely to correct"}, {"symbol": "AUTO_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 86, "selection_reason": "Sharp drop -38.63% trading -37.43% below MA200 and -31.90% below MA50, elevated volatility 130% - oversold with mean reversion upside"}, {"symbol": "BOY_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 82, "selection_reason": "Notable gain +24.16% positioned +28.65% above MA200 and +18.64% above MA50, volatility 103% - extended mover prone to short-term reversion"}], "output_schema": {"actions": {"sell": [{"symbol": "string", "reason": "string"}], "hold": [{"symbol": "string", "reason": "string"}], "buy": [{"symbol": "string", "position_size": "number (currency amount)", "reason": "string"}]}, "portfolio_rationale": "string"}}
Output JSON
{
  "raw": {
    "id": "gen-1775673802-NEmZL25UbYKkaR3B3y6I",
    "model": "minimax/minimax-m2.1",
    "usage": {
      "cost": 0,
      "is_byok": false,
      "cost_details": {
        "upstream_inference_cost": 0,
        "upstream_inference_prompt_cost": 0,
        "upstream_inference_completions_cost": 0
      },
      "total_tokens": 0,
      "prompt_tokens": 0,
      "completion_tokens": 0,
      "prompt_tokens_details": {
        "audio_tokens": 0,
        "video_tokens": 0,
        "cached_tokens": 0,
        "cache_write_tokens": 0
      },
      "completion_tokens_details": {
        "audio_tokens": 0,
        "image_tokens": 0,
        "reasoning_tokens": 0
      }
    },
    "object": "chat.completion",
    "choices": [
      {
        "index": 0,
        "message": {
          "role": "assistant",
          "content": null,
          "refusal": null,
          "reasoning": null
        },
        "logprobs": null,
        "finish_reason": null,
        "native_finish_reason": null
      }
    ],
    "created": 1775673802,
    "provider": "Minimax",
    "system_fingerprint": null
  }
}
Selection logs
#1059stage12026-04-08T18:43:22.075284+00:00
{
  "selected_stocks": [
    {
      "symbol": "VIRI_CFD.FR",
      "selection_reason": "Extreme daily surge +32.26%, massively extended +86.88% above MA200 and +29.10% above MA50 with very high volatility 298% - strong mean reversion candidate for short-term pullback",
      "mean_reversion_score": 95
    },
    {
      "symbol": "VTY_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Severe decline -52.24% with extreme distance -45.76% below MA200 and -43.64% below MA50, high volatility 221% - significant oversold bounce potential",
      "mean_reversion_score": 93
    },
    {
      "symbol": "JUP_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Strong rally +22.07% extended +57.66% above MA200 and +19.27% above MA50, volatility 96% - overbought conditions likely to correct",
      "mean_reversion_score": 88
    },
    {
      "symbol": "AUTO_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Sharp drop -38.63% trading -37.43% below MA200 and -31.90% below MA50, elevated volatility 130% - oversold with mean reversion upside",
      "mean_reversion_score": 86
    },
    {
      "symbol": "BOY_CFD.UK",
      "selection_reason": "Notable gain +24.16% positioned +28.65% above MA200 and +18.64% above MA50, volatility 103% - extended mover prone to short-term reversion",
      "mean_reversion_score": 82
    }
  ],
  "rejected_common_reasons": [
    "Stocks with moderate daily moves (<10%) lack sufficient dislocation for mean reversion",
    "Low volatility stocks (<70%) offer limited reversion opportunities",
    "Stocks near their moving averages show no significant deviation",
    "Extreme movers selected based on distance from MA200/MA50 and volatility criteria"
  ]
}