Arena run #1017
meanrev-v1 • mistralai • mistralai/mistral-large-2512 • EU • success
Run status
as_of: 2026-04-03T10:08:21.824313+00:00
started_at: 2026-04-03T12:18:57.030584+00:00
finished_at: 2026-04-03T12:20:24.503778+00:00
duration_ms: 87470
Inputs
{
"as_of": "2026-04-03T10:08:21.824313+00:00",
"dry_run": false,
"selected": [
{
"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Extreme 1-day drop (-30.75%), deeply below MA50 (-32.27%) and MA200 (-45.18%), high volatility (170.38%)",
"mean_reversion_score": 85
},
{
"symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Large 1-day drop (-36.80%), significantly below MA50 (-31.73%) and MA200 (-40.61%), high volatility (193.23%)",
"mean_reversion_score": 80
},
{
"symbol": "AUTO_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Sharp 1-day decline (-38.63%), well below MA50 (-31.90%) and MA200 (-37.43%), high volatility (130.07%)",
"mean_reversion_score": 75
},
{
"symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Significant 1-day drop (-26.79%), below MA50 (-22.14%) and MA200 (-17.65%), high volatility (154.03%)",
"mean_reversion_score": 70
},
{
"symbol": "ICG_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "1-day drop (-15.19%), below MA50 (-12.26%) and MA200 (-16.18%), moderate volatility (73.10%)",
"mean_reversion_score": 65
}
],
"simulate_only": false,
"strict_replay": false,
"universe_symbols": [
"CRST_CFD.UK",
"FUTR_CFD.UK",
"MSLH_CFD.UK",
"BOY_CFD.UK",
"PHP_CFD.UK",
"SPX_CFD.UK",
"PAGE_CFD.UK",
"ICG_CFD.UK",
"JDW_CFD.UK",
"MCG_CFD.UK",
"SHC_CFD.UK",
"PAG_CFD.UK",
"SAFE_CFD.UK",
"UTG_CFD.UK",
"DLN_CFD.UK",
"DOM_CFD.UK",
"HWDN_CFD.UK",
"STJ_CFD.UK",
"BBY_CFD.UK",
"IEP_CFD.BE",
"IPO_CFD.UK",
"CMCX_CFD.UK",
"IWG_CFD.UK",
"SRP_CFD.UK",
"VIRI_CFD.FR",
"WKP_CFD.UK",
"UKW_CFD.UK",
"ATG_CFD.UK",
"BTRW_CFD.UK",
"CO_CFD.FR",
"HMSO_CFD.UK",
"ADJ_CFD.DE",
"ITV_CFD.UK",
"DOCS_CFD.UK",
"AUTO_CFD.UK",
"EEFT_CFD.US",
"ABDN_CFD.UK",
"ALTR_CFD.PT",
"KGF_CFD.UK",
"UBI_CFD.FR",
"WTB_CFD.UK",
"AMCX_CFD.US",
"BP_CFD.UK",
"MNDI_CFD.UK",
"MSM_CFD.US",
"AMT_CFD.US",
"SBS_CFD.DE",
"BRBY_CFD.UK",
"HFG_CFD.DE"
]
}Outputs
{
"actions": {
"buy": [
{
"reason": "Extreme 1-day drop (-36.80%) with deeply negative deviation from MA50 (-31.73%) and MA200 (-40.61%); high mean-reversion score (80).",
"symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK",
"position_size": 3000
},
{
"reason": "1-day drop (-15.19%) with negative deviation from MA50 (-12.26%) and MA200 (-16.18%); moderate volatility and mean-reversion score (65).",
"symbol": "ICG_CFD.UK",
"position_size": 3000
}
],
"hold": [
{
"reason": "Already held with no new extreme deviation; candidate for potential add but prefer to observe mean-reversion confirmation first.",
"symbol": "AUTO_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "No new extreme deviation; holding for potential mean-reversion.",
"symbol": "BOY_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Positive unrealized PnL (+3.43%); no extreme deviation to justify exit.",
"symbol": "BTRW_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "No new extreme deviation; holding for potential mean-reversion.",
"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "No new extreme deviation; holding for potential mean-reversion.",
"symbol": "CRST_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "No new extreme deviation; holding for potential mean-reversion.",
"symbol": "ESNT_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Positive unrealized PnL (+6.81%); no extreme deviation to justify exit.",
"symbol": "EXPD_CFD.US"
},
{
"reason": "Already held with no new extreme deviation; candidate for potential add but prefer to observe mean-reversion confirmation first.",
"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Positive unrealized PnL (+2.42%); no extreme deviation to justify exit.",
"symbol": "HIK_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Positive unrealized PnL (+3.39%); no extreme deviation to justify exit.",
"symbol": "INF_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Already held with no new extreme deviation; candidate for potential add but prefer to observe mean-reversion confirmation first.",
"symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "No new extreme deviation; holding for potential mean-reversion.",
"symbol": "JDW_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Positive unrealized PnL (+3.36%); no extreme deviation to justify exit.",
"symbol": "JMAT_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "No new extreme deviation; holding for potential mean-reversion.",
"symbol": "MSLH_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "No new extreme deviation; holding for potential mean-reversion.",
"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "No new extreme deviation; holding for potential mean-reversion.",
"symbol": "PAG_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "No new extreme deviation; holding for potential mean-reversion.",
"symbol": "STJ_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Positive unrealized PnL (+11.47%); no extreme deviation to justify exit.",
"symbol": "SYNT_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "No new extreme deviation; holding for potential mean-reversion.",
"symbol": "TPK_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Positive unrealized PnL (+4.45%); no extreme deviation to justify exit.",
"symbol": "UKW_CFD.UK"
}
],
"sell": [
{
"reason": "Marginal unrealized loss (-0.39%) with no clear mean-reversion signal; prefer to free up capital for stronger candidates.",
"symbol": "PSN_CFD.UK"
}
]
},
"portfolio_rationale": "Portfolio adjusted to focus on high mean-reversion candidates with extreme deviations from moving averages. Sold PSN_CFD.UK to free up capital for stronger candidates PAGE_CFD.UK and ICG_CFD.UK. Held existing positions with positive PnL or no new extreme deviations to avoid overtrading. Maintained strict adherence to max 2 buys/sells per run and fixed position size of €3000."
}Prompts & responses
#1973 • openrouter • mistralai/mistral-large-2512 • 2026-04-03T12:18:57.080612+00:00
System prompt
You are an Arena strategy executor. You must follow the strategy rules strictly and output ONLY valid JSON. You are NOT allowed to invent prices, fundamentals, earnings dates, or sentiment. If a field is null/empty, treat it as unknown. You are a constrained selector (no narrative).
User prompt
{"task": "stage1_universe_scan", "region": "EU", "strategy": {"key": "meanrev-v1", "name": "Two-Stage LLM Mean-Reversion (Arena v1)", "rules": {"max_positions": 10, "max_buys_per_run": 2, "avoid_overtrading": true, "max_sells_per_run": 2, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "universe_symbols_eu": [], "universe_symbols_us": []}}, "selection_rules": {"horizon": "2-10 trading days", "target": "short-term mean reversion in liquid equities", "constraints": ["Select exactly 5 candidates", "Avoid earnings within 5 trading days (if known)", "Avoid highly binary/event-driven moves (if known)", "Avoid sector concentration: max 1 per sector unless clearly justified (sector may be unknown)"]}, "universe": [{"symbol": "CRST_CFD.UK", "name": "CREST NICHOLSON HOLDINGS", "sector": "", "last_price": 167.8, "change_1d_pct": 24.85119047619049, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 1.2720261375977815, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 17.82963155418549, "volatility_20d_pct": 158.46878099582966, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK", "name": "FUTURE PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 368.42, "change_1d_pct": -30.74812030075188, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -45.17933560634293, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -32.26659626501075, "volatility_20d_pct": 170.38116786538166, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "MSLH_CFD.UK", "name": "MARSHALLS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 179.0, "change_1d_pct": 2.052451539338662, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -18.41965657865713, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 4.539832012082234, "volatility_20d_pct": 102.90810964969117, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BOY_CFD.UK", "name": "BODYCOTE PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 721.0, "change_1d_pct": -6.666666666666665, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -3.9396725155548484, "volatility_20d_pct": 2835.238795438552, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "PHP_CFD.UK", "name": "PRIMARY HEALTH PROPERTIES", "sector": "", "last_price": 91.7, "change_1d_pct": -14.856081708449398, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -4.711135496193131, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -6.104920839383099, "volatility_20d_pct": 6010.672107732524, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SPX_CFD.UK", "name": "SPIRAX-SARCO ENGINEERING PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 7608.71, "change_1d_pct": 10.91413994169097, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 15.905097055024719, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 8.459177525660632, "volatility_20d_pct": 84.71063298478786, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK", "name": "PAGEGROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 152.7, "change_1d_pct": -36.79635761589404, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -40.61156091058385, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -31.72721647345812, "volatility_20d_pct": 193.22753953431183, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ICG_CFD.UK", "name": "ICG Plc", "sector": "", "last_price": 1693.0, "change_1d_pct": -15.18545979199647, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -16.18296530905513, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -12.256151916578562, "volatility_20d_pct": 73.10253575454833, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "JDW_CFD.UK", "name": "WETHERSPOON (J.D.) PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 748.5, "change_1d_pct": 9.750733137829904, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 6.242631058659898, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 5.290077328071208, "volatility_20d_pct": 98.2373545531062, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "MCG_CFD.UK", "name": "MOBICO GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 19.51, "change_1d_pct": -21.646586345381515, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -29.294942649537013, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -17.188746837807088, "volatility_20d_pct": 260.52106739031456, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SHC_CFD.UK", "name": "SHAFTESBURY CAPITAL PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 140.4, "change_1d_pct": -2.9045643153526868, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 0.26963533347688085, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -0.771073778544229, "volatility_20d_pct": 63.75522821252001, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "PAG_CFD.UK", "name": "PARAGON BANKING GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 852.5, "change_1d_pct": -3.399433427762044, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -1.3404962254783492, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.699141440891915, "volatility_20d_pct": 71.52779356208148, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SAFE_CFD.UK", "name": "SAFESTORE HOLDINGS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 708.0, "change_1d_pct": 0.14144271570013522, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 7.079918522466522, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -2.535991476029087, "volatility_20d_pct": 107.99712610776675, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "UTG_CFD.UK", "name": "UNITE GROUP PLC/THE", "sector": "", "last_price": 505.0, "change_1d_pct": -8.265213442325159, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -32.12786599325862, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -13.548388422126267, "volatility_20d_pct": 98.87339279796446, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "DLN_CFD.UK", "name": "DERWENT LONDON PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 1953.0, "change_1d_pct": 10.401356698699837, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 5.069478604951705, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 12.150447212111025, "volatility_20d_pct": 115.39088732649292, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "DOM_CFD.UK", "name": "DOMINO'S PIZZA GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 183.13, "change_1d_pct": -0.3102885138813294, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -15.070952368916624, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 1.0777282376278619, "volatility_20d_pct": 87.92203351330001, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "HWDN_CFD.UK", "name": "HOWDEN JOINERY GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 843.0, "change_1d_pct": -2.686229466563539, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 2.9144756901175572, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.6796292983215046, "volatility_20d_pct": 44.16384759940265, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "STJ_CFD.UK", "name": "ST JAMES'S PLACE PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 1280.0, "change_1d_pct": -14.836992681304062, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 4.633703562254432, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -6.669417974449299, "volatility_20d_pct": 125.87476157380789, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BBY_CFD.UK", "name": "BALFOUR BEATTY PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 759.18, "change_1d_pct": 5.222453222453205, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 33.313724414201815, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 8.832962232591, "volatility_20d_pct": 54.25956465831767, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "IEP_CFD.BE", "name": "IEP Invest NV", "sector": "", "last_price": 5.4, "change_1d_pct": 0.0, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 0.9951765451794659, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.5657756042326989, "volatility_20d_pct": 138.39532879660115, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "IPO_CFD.UK", "name": "IP GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 57.6, "change_1d_pct": -1.873935264054516, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 10.233643652522883, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -2.027486732888828, "volatility_20d_pct": 89.82123635439407, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CMCX_CFD.UK", "name": "CMC MARKETS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 336.5, "change_1d_pct": 6.487341772151889, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 33.727269096422944, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 13.399699398122245, "volatility_20d_pct": 207.2492443353413, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK", "name": "IWG PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 177.0, "change_1d_pct": -26.786896095301127, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -17.645939421376646, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -22.14236071400294, "volatility_20d_pct": 154.02502086657427, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SRP_CFD.UK", "name": "SERCO GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 300.0, "change_1d_pct": -0.3984063745019917, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 34.11120814305375, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 6.89280433272168, "volatility_20d_pct": 77.89780733903845, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "VIRI_CFD.FR", "name": "VIRIDIEN", "sector": "", "last_price": 127.1, "change_1d_pct": 32.258064516129025, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 86.88026988392838, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 29.097132641971314, "volatility_20d_pct": 297.97668648307325, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "WKP_CFD.UK", "name": "WORKSPACE GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 423.0, "change_1d_pct": 3.6764705882353033, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 1.8640028868691871, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 5.808194506978848, "volatility_20d_pct": 70.2233148398582, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "UKW_CFD.UK", "name": "GREENCOAT UK WIND PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 98.75, "change_1d_pct": -0.05060728744938903, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 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-31.60081201451096, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -26.246873145735073, "volatility_20d_pct": 135.16950343577923, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CO_CFD.FR", "name": "Casino Guichard Perrachon", "sector": "", "last_price": 0.161, "change_1d_pct": 0.6250000000000089, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -54.63319103371514, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -21.973441892022873, "volatility_20d_pct": 159.06564182763353, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "HMSO_CFD.UK", "name": "HAMMERSON PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 355.4, "change_1d_pct": 14.129736673089276, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 22.516025502913806, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 10.006914897239172, "volatility_20d_pct": 87.54938293511039, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ADJ_CFD.DE", "name": "ADLER GROUP SA", "sector": "", "last_price": 0.174, "change_1d_pct": 0.5780346820809301, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -13.818722139673124, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -5.793178126691922, "volatility_20d_pct": 294.59302160430366, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ITV_CFD.UK", "name": "ITV PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 77.2, "change_1d_pct": -8.313539192399045, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -3.1613066700786008, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -5.057064147973234, "volatility_20d_pct": 145.60286782433963, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "DOCS_CFD.UK", "name": "DR. MARTENS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 64.4, "change_1d_pct": -3.7369207772795177, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -14.81943439575366, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -12.617301774248702, "volatility_20d_pct": 126.3056770096304, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "AUTO_CFD.UK", "name": "AUTOTRADER GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 490.4, "change_1d_pct": -38.63326367424575, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -37.426260695289436, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -31.896720766000808, "volatility_20d_pct": 130.06763966702516, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "EEFT_CFD.US", "name": "Euronet Worldwide Inc", "sector": "", "last_price": 67.96, "change_1d_pct": 0.08836524300439574, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -8.600877948011732, "volatility_20d_pct": 4641.720940536395, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ABDN_CFD.UK", "name": "Aberdeen Group Plc", "sector": "", "last_price": 206.2, "change_1d_pct": 0.4873294346978474, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -3.567353199768042, "volatility_20d_pct": 5122.525857900045, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ALTR_CFD.PT", "name": "Altri SGPS SA", "sector": "", "last_price": 4.615, "change_1d_pct": 0.654307524536546, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.7136154332976874, "volatility_20d_pct": 2215.5809254008673, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "KGF_CFD.UK", "name": "KINGFISHER PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 288.9, "change_1d_pct": -19.683069224353634, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -1.601320156743069, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -11.033453146133033, "volatility_20d_pct": 108.51503014907387, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "UBI_CFD.FR", "name": "UBISoft Entertainment", "sector": "", "last_price": 3.902, "change_1d_pct": -2.47438140464884, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -45.5889694255188, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -5.704605539793994, "volatility_20d_pct": 100.74121862668639, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "WTB_CFD.UK", "name": "WHITBREAD PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 2327.0, "change_1d_pct": -2.472757753562449, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -18.59489684456923, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -16.233663944578723, "volatility_20d_pct": 117.15948435652328, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "AMCX_CFD.US", "name": "AMC Networks Inc", "sector": "", "last_price": 7.25, "change_1d_pct": 6.932153392330376, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -5.0612191448962225, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -4.019275577208226, "volatility_20d_pct": 95.18204163977562, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BP_CFD.UK", "name": "BP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 599.9, "change_1d_pct": -0.024997916840263645, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 34.942946171845875, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 19.418351608713902, "volatility_20d_pct": 57.450503642923834, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "MNDI_CFD.UK", "name": "MONDI PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 850.0, "change_1d_pct": -8.58249085824908, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -13.160753441822449, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -3.5043803335115586, "volatility_20d_pct": 114.67736271483679, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "MSM_CFD.US", "name": "", "sector": "", "last_price": 91.29, "change_1d_pct": 1.0403984504704145, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 3.495187456777815, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.6101189820182595, "volatility_20d_pct": 67.00050721439972, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "AMT_CFD.US", "name": "American Tower Corp", "sector": "", "last_price": 187.64, "change_1d_pct": -1.65618448637318, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 4.457727796489652, "volatility_20d_pct": 3486.0850782269963, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "SBS_CFD.DE", "name": "Stratec SE", "sector": "", "last_price": 17.74, "change_1d_pct": 4.004221140880571, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -26.531612941700722, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -11.33635209564079, "volatility_20d_pct": 86.48165309892673, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BRBY_CFD.UK", "name": "BURBERRY GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 1106.0, "change_1d_pct": 5.786704925872788, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -7.436242527422432, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -2.755466927626671, "volatility_20d_pct": 136.53537118978804, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "HFG_CFD.DE", "name": "", "sector": "", "last_price": 3.943, "change_1d_pct": -1.6708229426433796, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -40.677328599154464, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -19.373307923213446, "volatility_20d_pct": 118.7315796797711, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}], "output_schema": {"selected_stocks": [{"symbol": "string", "mean_reversion_score": "integer 0-100", "selection_reason": "short, concrete, indicator-based"}], "rejected_common_reasons": ["string"]}}Output JSON
{
"selected_stocks": [
{
"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Extreme 1-day drop (-30.75%), deeply below MA50 (-32.27%) and MA200 (-45.18%), high volatility (170.38%)",
"mean_reversion_score": 85
},
{
"symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Large 1-day drop (-36.80%), significantly below MA50 (-31.73%) and MA200 (-40.61%), high volatility (193.23%)",
"mean_reversion_score": 80
},
{
"symbol": "AUTO_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Sharp 1-day decline (-38.63%), well below MA50 (-31.90%) and MA200 (-37.43%), high volatility (130.07%)",
"mean_reversion_score": 75
},
{
"symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Significant 1-day drop (-26.79%), below MA50 (-22.14%) and MA200 (-17.65%), high volatility (154.03%)",
"mean_reversion_score": 70
},
{
"symbol": "ICG_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "1-day drop (-15.19%), below MA50 (-12.26%) and MA200 (-16.18%), moderate volatility (73.10%)",
"mean_reversion_score": 65
}
],
"rejected_common_reasons": [
"Earnings dates unknown (cannot confirm avoidance of earnings within 5 days)",
"Sector information missing (cannot enforce sector concentration rule)",
"Extreme volatility outliers (e.g., BOY_CFD.UK, PHP_CFD.UK) may indicate binary/event-driven moves",
"Insufficient deviation from mean (e.g., SHC_CFD.UK, PAG_CFD.UK)"
]
}#1974 • openrouter • mistralai/mistral-large-2512 • 2026-04-03T12:20:04.940194+00:00
System prompt
You are an Arena portfolio manager. You must follow the strategy rules strictly and output ONLY valid JSON. You are NOT allowed to invent prices/fundamentals/news/earnings. If a field is null/empty, treat it as unknown. Avoid overtrading: if changes are marginal, prefer HOLD. Do not churn.
User prompt
{"task": "stage2_portfolio_management", "region": "EU", "strategy": {"key": "meanrev-v1", "name": "Two-Stage LLM Mean-Reversion (Arena v1)", "rules": {"max_positions": 10, "max_buys_per_run": 2, "avoid_overtrading": true, "max_sells_per_run": 2, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "universe_symbols_eu": [], "universe_symbols_us": []}}, "portfolio_constraints": {"initial_equity": 10000.0, "max_positions": 10, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "overtrading_rules": ["Max 2 SELL actions per run unless risk event forces more", "Max 2 BUY actions per run", "If no clear improvement vs current holdings, output HOLD for everything"]}, "current_portfolio": [{"symbol": "AAL_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 2913.0, "last_price": 2900.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-19T10:09:24.325041+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ACM_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 88.42, "last_price": 97.88, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-15T10:57:15.913854+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ADS_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 137.15, "last_price": 138.55, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-04T10:26:53.527562+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AIR_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 200.984, "last_price": 187.12, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T09:33:49.074031+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AMCX_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 7.5, "last_price": 7.365, "unrealized_pnl": -53.999999999999915, "opened_at": "2026-02-24T18:14:37.115518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AMH_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 29.595, "last_price": 29.485, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T17:33:34.647633+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ATG_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 296.0, "last_price": 296.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-04T18:49:26.891792+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ATO_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 35.106, "last_price": 38.024, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-25T10:57:06.928276+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AUTO_CFD.UK", "qty": 6.2137531068765535, "avg_price": 482.8, "last_price": 482.8, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-19T18:04:14.272849+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BIG_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 0.453, "last_price": 0.453, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-28T10:51:05.818250+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BLND_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 364.2, "last_price": 364.2, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-09T18:18:45.954380+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BOY_CFD.UK", "qty": 4.73186119873817, "avg_price": 634.0, "last_price": 634.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-31T17:54:15.044829+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BRBY_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1070.84, "last_price": 1070.84, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-09T10:19:46.508085+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BTRW_CFD.UK", "qty": 11.961722488038276, "avg_price": 250.8, "last_price": 259.8, "unrealized_pnl": 107.65550239234449, "opened_at": "2026-03-23T18:04:09.108429+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 292.6, "last_price": 292.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-15T10:57:15.913854+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK", "qty": 78.73556514638985, "avg_price": 342.9199999999999, "last_price": 342.92, "unrealized_pnl": 8.95119741771735e-12, "opened_at": "2026-03-04T10:26:53.527562+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CRST_CFD.UK", "qty": 25.246149962130776, "avg_price": 118.83, "last_price": 118.83, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-18T17:58:33.497657+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CRWD_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 350.24, "last_price": 350.055, "unrealized_pnl": -1.5846276838739344, "opened_at": "2026-02-23T18:14:12.978497+00:00"}, {"symbol": "DLTR_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 112.12, "last_price": 107.655, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-17T18:12:35.221859+00:00"}, {"symbol": "DOM_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 199.3, "last_price": 189.21, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T09:33:49.074031+00:00"}, {"symbol": "DSY_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 17.881, "last_price": 16.752, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T09:30:55.514112+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ESNT_CFD.UK", "qty": 31.413612565445025, "avg_price": 95.5, "last_price": 95.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-20T10:26:40.341409+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ESTC_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 58.085, "last_price": 54.045, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T17:32:49.140800+00:00"}, {"symbol": "EVT_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 4.502, "last_price": 4.353, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-11T10:11:17.665074+00:00"}, {"symbol": "EXM_CFD.BE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 10.0, "last_price": 9.933, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T09:33:26.900894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "EXPD_CFD.US", "qty": 22.01269398686576, "avg_price": 136.285, "last_price": 145.945, "unrealized_pnl": 212.64262391312317, "opened_at": "2026-02-24T18:14:37.115518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "EZJ_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 405.2, "last_price": 394.1, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T17:33:34.647633+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FRVIA_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 12.709, "last_price": 12.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-26T10:33:24.101894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK", "qty": 21.1118930330753, "avg_price": 284.2, "last_price": 284.2, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-18T09:36:37.284518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "GO_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 6.53, "last_price": 6.35, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-05T18:20:59.102726+00:00"}, {"symbol": "GRI_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 189.6, "last_price": 189.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T09:33:26.900894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "HIK_CFD.UK", "qty": 4.854368932038835, "avg_price": 1236.0, "last_price": 1266.0, "unrealized_pnl": 145.63106796116503, "opened_at": "2026-02-26T10:33:24.101894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ICG_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1693.0, "last_price": 1496.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-15T18:15:23.812047+00:00"}, {"symbol": "INF_CFD.UK", "qty": 4.0474905558553695, "avg_price": 741.2, "last_price": 766.2, "unrealized_pnl": 101.18726389638424, "opened_at": "2026-03-21T10:00:02.317290+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ITRK_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 3942.0, "last_price": 3760.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-13T10:07:39.444598+00:00"}, {"symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK", "qty": 52.26480836236934, "avg_price": 172.20000000000002, "last_price": 172.2, "unrealized_pnl": -1.4854551967110108e-12, "opened_at": "2026-03-16T18:18:58.833148+00:00"}, {"symbol": "JDW_CFD.UK", "qty": 4.514672686230249, "avg_price": 664.5, "last_price": 664.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-15T10:35:48.762746+00:00"}, {"symbol": "JEF_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 47.46, "last_price": 44.27, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-26T18:07:22.382508+00:00"}, {"symbol": "JMAT_CFD.UK", "qty": 1.6528925619834711, "avg_price": 1815.0, "last_price": 1876.0, "unrealized_pnl": 100.82644628099173, "opened_at": "2026-03-03T10:20:03.276878+00:00"}, {"symbol": "KGF_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 288.9, "last_price": 285.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-27T09:59:46.331143+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LIO_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 250.0, "last_price": 257.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T09:33:44.817899+00:00"}, {"symbol": "MCG_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 17.39, "last_price": 17.39, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-27T18:04:13.865611+00:00"}, {"symbol": "MSLH_CFD.UK", "qty": 21.30681818181818, "avg_price": 140.8, "last_price": 140.8, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-21T17:59:11.913241+00:00"}, {"symbol": "NA9_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 48.578, "last_price": 53.3, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-25T10:57:06.928276+00:00"}, {"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK", "qty": 44.052863436123346, "avg_price": 204.3, "last_price": 204.3, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T17:30:52.485845+00:00"}, {"symbol": "OKTA_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 70.18, "last_price": 79.26, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-23T18:14:12.978497+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK", "qty": 225.73363431151245, "avg_price": 132.89999999999998, "last_price": 132.9, "unrealized_pnl": 6.415735763070883e-12, "opened_at": "2026-03-06T10:33:43.857578+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PAG_CFD.UK", "qty": 3.9190071848465053, "avg_price": 765.5, "last_price": 765.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-22T18:18:31.438015+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PSN_CFD.UK", "qty": 2.808988764044944, "avg_price": 1068.0, "last_price": 1066.5, "unrealized_pnl": -4.213483146067416, "opened_at": "2026-03-21T10:00:02.317290+00:00"}, {"symbol": "RMV_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 424.3, "last_price": 424.3, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T00:47:27.070066+00:00"}, {"symbol": "SOI_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 57.5, "last_price": 54.96, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-19T10:09:24.325041+00:00"}, {"symbol": "STJ_CFD.UK", "qty": 2.459016393442623, "avg_price": 1220.0, "last_price": 1220.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-15T10:35:48.762746+00:00"}, {"symbol": "SYNT_CFD.UK", "qty": 85.9598853868195, "avg_price": 34.9, "last_price": 38.9, "unrealized_pnl": 343.839541547278, "opened_at": "2026-03-04T18:49:26.891792+00:00"}, {"symbol": "TPK_CFD.UK", "qty": 5.328975415660082, "avg_price": 562.96, "last_price": 562.96, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-22T18:18:31.438015+00:00"}, {"symbol": "TRN_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 184.50000000000003, "last_price": 211.4, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T09:30:55.514112+00:00"}, {"symbol": "TRST_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 151.8, "last_price": 224.82, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T17:30:52.485845+00:00"}, {"symbol": "TUI1_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 7.398000000000001, "last_price": 6.95, "unrealized_pnl": -181.67072181670738, "opened_at": "2026-03-02T10:31:26.559356+00:00"}, {"symbol": "UKW_CFD.UK", "qty": 32.48511099079589, "avg_price": 92.35, "last_price": 96.43, "unrealized_pnl": 132.53925284244764, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T09:33:44.817899+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ULTA_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 535.2, "last_price": 523.22, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-15T18:15:23.812047+00:00"}, {"symbol": "UTG_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 505.0, "last_price": 505.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-26T17:55:26.602359+00:00"}, {"symbol": "VSVS_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 425.0, "last_price": 421.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-16T18:18:58.833148+00:00"}, {"symbol": "VTY_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 385.0, "last_price": 385.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-11T10:11:17.665074+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WEIR_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 2890.0, "last_price": 2842.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-14T10:03:26.036362+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WIX_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 224.5, "last_price": 222.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-09T10:19:46.508085+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WIZZ_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1087.0, "last_price": 1064.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-03T10:20:03.276878+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WKP_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 412.5, "last_price": 412.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-22T09:32:59.506254+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WPP_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 263.4, "last_price": 257.0, "unrealized_pnl": -72.89293849658289, "opened_at": "2026-02-18T09:36:37.284518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ZS_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 159.76, "last_price": 144.45, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T17:32:49.140800+00:00"}], "candidates": [{"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 85, "selection_reason": "Extreme 1-day drop (-30.75%), deeply below MA50 (-32.27%) and MA200 (-45.18%), high volatility (170.38%)"}, {"symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 80, "selection_reason": "Large 1-day drop (-36.80%), significantly below MA50 (-31.73%) and MA200 (-40.61%), high volatility (193.23%)"}, {"symbol": "AUTO_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 75, "selection_reason": "Sharp 1-day decline (-38.63%), well below MA50 (-31.90%) and MA200 (-37.43%), high volatility (130.07%)"}, {"symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 70, "selection_reason": "Significant 1-day drop (-26.79%), below MA50 (-22.14%) and MA200 (-17.65%), high volatility (154.03%)"}, {"symbol": "ICG_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 65, "selection_reason": "1-day drop (-15.19%), below MA50 (-12.26%) and MA200 (-16.18%), moderate volatility (73.10%)"}], "output_schema": {"actions": {"sell": [{"symbol": "string", "reason": "string"}], "hold": [{"symbol": "string", "reason": "string"}], "buy": [{"symbol": "string", "position_size": "number (currency amount)", "reason": "string"}]}, "portfolio_rationale": "string"}}Output JSON
{
"actions": {
"buy": [
{
"reason": "Extreme 1-day drop (-36.80%) with deeply negative deviation from MA50 (-31.73%) and MA200 (-40.61%); high mean-reversion score (80).",
"symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK",
"position_size": 3000
},
{
"reason": "1-day drop (-15.19%) with negative deviation from MA50 (-12.26%) and MA200 (-16.18%); moderate volatility and mean-reversion score (65).",
"symbol": "ICG_CFD.UK",
"position_size": 3000
}
],
"hold": [
{
"reason": "Already held with no new extreme deviation; candidate for potential add but prefer to observe mean-reversion confirmation first.",
"symbol": "AUTO_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "No new extreme deviation; holding for potential mean-reversion.",
"symbol": "BOY_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Positive unrealized PnL (+3.43%); no extreme deviation to justify exit.",
"symbol": "BTRW_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "No new extreme deviation; holding for potential mean-reversion.",
"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "No new extreme deviation; holding for potential mean-reversion.",
"symbol": "CRST_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "No new extreme deviation; holding for potential mean-reversion.",
"symbol": "ESNT_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Positive unrealized PnL (+6.81%); no extreme deviation to justify exit.",
"symbol": "EXPD_CFD.US"
},
{
"reason": "Already held with no new extreme deviation; candidate for potential add but prefer to observe mean-reversion confirmation first.",
"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Positive unrealized PnL (+2.42%); no extreme deviation to justify exit.",
"symbol": "HIK_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Positive unrealized PnL (+3.39%); no extreme deviation to justify exit.",
"symbol": "INF_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Already held with no new extreme deviation; candidate for potential add but prefer to observe mean-reversion confirmation first.",
"symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "No new extreme deviation; holding for potential mean-reversion.",
"symbol": "JDW_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Positive unrealized PnL (+3.36%); no extreme deviation to justify exit.",
"symbol": "JMAT_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "No new extreme deviation; holding for potential mean-reversion.",
"symbol": "MSLH_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "No new extreme deviation; holding for potential mean-reversion.",
"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "No new extreme deviation; holding for potential mean-reversion.",
"symbol": "PAG_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "No new extreme deviation; holding for potential mean-reversion.",
"symbol": "STJ_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Positive unrealized PnL (+11.47%); no extreme deviation to justify exit.",
"symbol": "SYNT_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "No new extreme deviation; holding for potential mean-reversion.",
"symbol": "TPK_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Positive unrealized PnL (+4.45%); no extreme deviation to justify exit.",
"symbol": "UKW_CFD.UK"
}
],
"sell": [
{
"reason": "Marginal unrealized loss (-0.39%) with no clear mean-reversion signal; prefer to free up capital for stronger candidates.",
"symbol": "PSN_CFD.UK"
}
]
},
"portfolio_rationale": "Portfolio adjusted to focus on high mean-reversion candidates with extreme deviations from moving averages. Sold PSN_CFD.UK to free up capital for stronger candidates PAGE_CFD.UK and ICG_CFD.UK. Held existing positions with positive PnL or no new extreme deviations to avoid overtrading. Maintained strict adherence to max 2 buys/sells per run and fixed position size of €3000."
}Selection logs
#961 • stage1 • 2026-04-03T12:20:04.933596+00:00
{
"selected_stocks": [
{
"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Extreme 1-day drop (-30.75%), deeply below MA50 (-32.27%) and MA200 (-45.18%), high volatility (170.38%)",
"mean_reversion_score": 85
},
{
"symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Large 1-day drop (-36.80%), significantly below MA50 (-31.73%) and MA200 (-40.61%), high volatility (193.23%)",
"mean_reversion_score": 80
},
{
"symbol": "AUTO_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Sharp 1-day decline (-38.63%), well below MA50 (-31.90%) and MA200 (-37.43%), high volatility (130.07%)",
"mean_reversion_score": 75
},
{
"symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Significant 1-day drop (-26.79%), below MA50 (-22.14%) and MA200 (-17.65%), high volatility (154.03%)",
"mean_reversion_score": 70
},
{
"symbol": "ICG_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "1-day drop (-15.19%), below MA50 (-12.26%) and MA200 (-16.18%), moderate volatility (73.10%)",
"mean_reversion_score": 65
}
],
"rejected_common_reasons": [
"Earnings dates unknown (cannot confirm avoidance of earnings within 5 days)",
"Sector information missing (cannot enforce sector concentration rule)",
"Extreme volatility outliers (e.g., BOY_CFD.UK, PHP_CFD.UK) may indicate binary/event-driven moves",
"Insufficient deviation from mean (e.g., SHC_CFD.UK, PAG_CFD.UK)"
]
}