Arena run #1007
meanrev-v1 • mistralai • mistralai/mistral-large-2512 • US • success
Run status
as_of: 2026-04-02T18:04:13.492519+00:00
started_at: 2026-04-02T18:05:30.809167+00:00
finished_at: 2026-04-02T18:06:07.675086+00:00
duration_ms: 36862
Inputs
{
"as_of": "2026-04-02T18:04:13.492519+00:00",
"dry_run": false,
"selected": [
{
"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Extreme 1-day drop (-30.75%) with oversold technicals (distance_from_ma200_pct: -45.18%, distance_from_ma50_pct: -32.27%)",
"mean_reversion_score": 85
},
{
"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Sharp 1-day decline (-26.63%) with oversold technicals (distance_from_ma200_pct: -13.37%, distance_from_ma50_pct: -22.13%)",
"mean_reversion_score": 80
},
{
"symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Large 1-day drop (-26.79%) with oversold technicals (distance_from_ma200_pct: -17.65%, distance_from_ma50_pct: -22.14%)",
"mean_reversion_score": 78
},
{
"symbol": "AUTO_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Extreme 1-day decline (-38.63%) with oversold technicals (distance_from_ma200_pct: -37.43%, distance_from_ma50_pct: -31.90%)",
"mean_reversion_score": 75
},
{
"symbol": "BTRW_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Significant 1-day drop (-24.46%) with oversold technicals (distance_from_ma200_pct: -31.60%, distance_from_ma50_pct: -26.25%)",
"mean_reversion_score": 70
}
],
"simulate_only": false,
"strict_replay": false,
"universe_symbols": [
"CRST_CFD.UK",
"FUTR_CFD.UK",
"BOY_CFD.UK",
"ESNT_CFD.UK",
"ICG_CFD.UK",
"JDW_CFD.UK",
"LIO_CFD.UK",
"CBG_CFD.UK",
"DLN_CFD.UK",
"DOM_CFD.UK",
"HWDN_CFD.UK",
"BBY_CFD.UK",
"IEP_CFD.BE",
"IPO_CFD.UK",
"CMCX_CFD.UK",
"GROW_CFD.UK",
"IWG_CFD.UK",
"BYIT_CFD.UK",
"HBR_CFD.UK",
"ATG_CFD.UK",
"BTRW_CFD.UK",
"CO_CFD.FR",
"HMSO_CFD.UK",
"ERA_CFD.FR",
"ADJ_CFD.DE",
"ITV_CFD.UK",
"DOCS_CFD.UK",
"AUTO_CFD.UK",
"ETSY_CFD.US",
"GRI_CFD.UK",
"ABDN_CFD.UK",
"ALTR_CFD.PT",
"KGF_CFD.UK",
"LPE_CFD.FR",
"BP_CFD.UK",
"BRBY_CFD.UK",
"HFG_CFD.DE",
"DECB_CFD.BE",
"CPG_CFD.UK",
"IHG_CFD.UK",
"LPK_CFD.DE",
"CCC_CFD.UK",
"ECONB_CFD.BE",
"FRVIA_CFD.FR",
"FAGR_CFD.BE",
"LUV_CFD.US",
"AMUN_CFD.FR",
"AIR_CFD.DE",
"DRX_CFD.UK",
"CW_CFD.US"
]
}Outputs
{
"actions": {
"buy": [
{
"reason": "Extreme 1-day decline (-38.63%) with oversold technicals (distance_from_ma200_pct: -37.43%, distance_from_ma50_pct: -31.90%); high mean_reversion_score (75).",
"symbol": "AUTO_CFD.UK",
"position_size": 3000
}
],
"hold": [
{
"reason": "No significant mean-reversion signal or price improvement; holding for potential recovery.",
"symbol": "BOY_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Already showing positive unrealized PnL (+107.66); no urgent need to sell.",
"symbol": "BTRW_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Current holding aligns with candidate list (mean_reversion_score: 80); no material change in price or technicals.",
"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "No significant mean-reversion signal or price movement; holding for stability.",
"symbol": "CRST_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "No price movement or mean-reversion signal; holding.",
"symbol": "ESNT_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Positive unrealized PnL (+191.40); no urgent need to sell.",
"symbol": "EXPD_CFD.US"
},
{
"reason": "Current holding aligns with candidate list (mean_reversion_score: 85); no material change in price or technicals.",
"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Positive unrealized PnL (+145.63); no urgent need to sell.",
"symbol": "HIK_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Positive unrealized PnL (+101.19); no urgent need to sell.",
"symbol": "INF_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Current holding aligns with candidate list (mean_reversion_score: 78); no material change in price or technicals.",
"symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "No price movement or mean-reversion signal; holding.",
"symbol": "JDW_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Positive unrealized PnL (+100.83); no urgent need to sell.",
"symbol": "JMAT_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "No price movement or mean-reversion signal; holding.",
"symbol": "MSLH_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "No price movement or mean-reversion signal; holding.",
"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "No significant price movement or mean-reversion signal; holding.",
"symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "No price movement or mean-reversion signal; holding.",
"symbol": "PAG_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Marginal negative PnL (-4.21); no urgent need to sell.",
"symbol": "PSN_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "No price movement or mean-reversion signal; holding.",
"symbol": "STJ_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Positive unrealized PnL (+313.75); no urgent need to sell.",
"symbol": "SYNT_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "No price movement or mean-reversion signal; holding.",
"symbol": "TPK_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Positive unrealized PnL (+132.54); no urgent need to sell.",
"symbol": "UKW_CFD.UK"
}
],
"sell": []
},
"portfolio_rationale": "Portfolio remains largely unchanged due to lack of material price movements or stronger mean-reversion signals in current holdings. One new position (AUTO_CFD.UK) is added due to its extreme oversold condition and high mean-reversion score. All other positions are held to avoid overtrading and churn, as no clear improvement over current holdings is observed."
}Prompts & responses
#1954 • openrouter • mistralai/mistral-large-2512 • 2026-04-02T18:05:30.857588+00:00
System prompt
You are an Arena strategy executor. You must follow the strategy rules strictly and output ONLY valid JSON. You are NOT allowed to invent prices, fundamentals, earnings dates, or sentiment. If a field is null/empty, treat it as unknown. You are a constrained selector (no narrative).
User prompt
{"task": "stage1_universe_scan", "region": "US", "strategy": {"key": "meanrev-v1", "name": "Two-Stage LLM Mean-Reversion (Arena v1)", "rules": {"max_positions": 10, "max_buys_per_run": 2, "avoid_overtrading": true, "max_sells_per_run": 2, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "universe_symbols_eu": [], "universe_symbols_us": []}}, "selection_rules": {"horizon": "2-10 trading days", "target": "short-term mean reversion in liquid equities", "constraints": ["Select exactly 5 candidates", "Avoid earnings within 5 trading days (if known)", "Avoid highly binary/event-driven moves (if known)", "Avoid sector concentration: max 1 per sector unless clearly justified (sector may be unknown)"]}, "universe": [{"symbol": "CRST_CFD.UK", "name": "CREST NICHOLSON HOLDINGS", "sector": "", "last_price": 167.8, "change_1d_pct": 24.85119047619049, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 1.2720261375977815, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 17.82963155418549, "volatility_20d_pct": 158.46878099582966, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK", "name": "FUTURE PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 368.42, "change_1d_pct": -30.74812030075188, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -45.17933560634293, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -32.26659626501075, "volatility_20d_pct": 170.38116786538166, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BOY_CFD.UK", "name": "BODYCOTE PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 775.4, "change_1d_pct": 24.163330664531625, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 28.652243313347768, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 18.63612217470385, "volatility_20d_pct": 103.46484337510964, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ESNT_CFD.UK", "name": "ESSENTRA PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 108.4, "change_1d_pct": 4.230769230769238, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 7.40452119530135, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 9.771484932749797, "volatility_20d_pct": 98.9832071461764, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ICG_CFD.UK", "name": "ICG Plc", "sector": "", "last_price": 1693.0, "change_1d_pct": -15.18545979199647, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -16.18296530905513, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -12.256151916578562, "volatility_20d_pct": 73.10253575454833, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "JDW_CFD.UK", "name": "WETHERSPOON (J.D.) PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 748.5, "change_1d_pct": 9.750733137829904, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 6.242631058659898, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 5.290077328071208, "volatility_20d_pct": 98.2373545531062, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "LIO_CFD.UK", "name": "LIONTRUST ASSET MANAGEMENT", "sector": "", "last_price": 257.5, "change_1d_pct": 3.8306451612903247, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -20.8874735683513, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.10846703807232405, "volatility_20d_pct": 141.21527367452939, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK", "name": "CLOSE BROTHERS GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 372.74, "change_1d_pct": -26.625984251968504, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -13.365429078084645, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -22.129222788055436, "volatility_20d_pct": 169.0552301316783, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "DLN_CFD.UK", "name": "DERWENT LONDON PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 1953.0, "change_1d_pct": 10.401356698699837, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 5.069478604951705, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 12.150447212111025, "volatility_20d_pct": 115.39088732649292, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "DOM_CFD.UK", "name": "DOMINO'S PIZZA GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 183.13, "change_1d_pct": -0.3102885138813294, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -15.070952368916624, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 1.0777282376278619, "volatility_20d_pct": 87.92203351330001, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "HWDN_CFD.UK", "name": "HOWDEN JOINERY GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 843.0, "change_1d_pct": -2.686229466563539, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 2.9144756901175572, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.6796292983215046, "volatility_20d_pct": 44.16384759940265, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BBY_CFD.UK", "name": "BALFOUR BEATTY PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 759.18, "change_1d_pct": 5.222453222453205, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 33.313724414201815, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 8.832962232591, "volatility_20d_pct": 54.25956465831767, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "IEP_CFD.BE", "name": "IEP Invest NV", "sector": "", "last_price": 5.4, "change_1d_pct": 0.0, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 0.9951765451794659, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.5657756042326989, "volatility_20d_pct": 138.39532879660115, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "IPO_CFD.UK", "name": "IP GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 57.6, "change_1d_pct": -1.873935264054516, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 10.233643652522883, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -2.027486732888828, "volatility_20d_pct": 89.82123635439407, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CMCX_CFD.UK", "name": "CMC MARKETS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 336.5, "change_1d_pct": 6.487341772151889, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 33.727269096422944, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 13.399699398122245, "volatility_20d_pct": 207.2492443353413, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "GROW_CFD.UK", "name": "MOLTEN VENTURES PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 465.0, "change_1d_pct": 1.572739187418093, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 22.569628774815076, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -4.275686024250158, "volatility_20d_pct": 115.72658030340939, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK", "name": "IWG PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 177.0, "change_1d_pct": -26.786896095301127, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -17.645939421376646, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -22.14236071400294, "volatility_20d_pct": 154.02502086657427, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK", "name": "BYTES TECHNOLOGY GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 300.4, "change_1d_pct": -12.674418604651173, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -28.03446775272175, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -14.34777426817815, "volatility_20d_pct": 87.82535981934274, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "HBR_CFD.UK", "name": "HARBOUR ENERGY PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 294.8, "change_1d_pct": 3.2936229852838173, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 33.38470243062854, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 15.459330743200915, "volatility_20d_pct": 160.28632234498426, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ATG_CFD.UK", "name": "AUCTION TECHNOLOGY GROUP", "sector": "", "last_price": 326.5, "change_1d_pct": 12.006861063464846, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -24.987260470422935, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 5.84429056770146, "volatility_20d_pct": 172.45012969704524, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BTRW_CFD.UK", "name": "Barratt Redrow Plc", "sector": "", "last_price": 265.0, "change_1d_pct": -24.458380843785633, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -31.60081201451096, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -26.246873145735073, "volatility_20d_pct": 135.16950343577923, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CO_CFD.FR", "name": "Casino Guichard Perrachon", "sector": "", "last_price": 0.161, "change_1d_pct": 0.6250000000000089, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -54.63319103371514, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -21.973441892022873, "volatility_20d_pct": 159.06564182763353, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "HMSO_CFD.UK", "name": "HAMMERSON PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 355.4, "change_1d_pct": 14.129736673089276, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 22.516025502913806, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 10.006914897239172, "volatility_20d_pct": 87.54938293511039, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ERA_CFD.FR", "name": "Eramet", "sector": "", "last_price": 51.95, "change_1d_pct": 2.9528339278636517, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -7.215615638678486, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -11.840073311045863, "volatility_20d_pct": 94.50049855306494, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ADJ_CFD.DE", "name": "ADLER GROUP SA", "sector": "", "last_price": 0.174, "change_1d_pct": 0.5780346820809301, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -13.818722139673124, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -5.793178126691922, "volatility_20d_pct": 294.59302160430366, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ITV_CFD.UK", "name": "ITV PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 77.2, "change_1d_pct": -8.313539192399045, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -3.1613066700786008, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -5.057064147973234, "volatility_20d_pct": 145.60286782433963, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "DOCS_CFD.UK", "name": "DR. MARTENS PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 64.4, "change_1d_pct": -3.7369207772795177, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -14.81943439575366, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -12.617301774248702, "volatility_20d_pct": 126.3056770096304, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "AUTO_CFD.UK", "name": "AUTOTRADER GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 490.4, "change_1d_pct": -38.63326367424575, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -37.426260695289436, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -31.896720766000808, "volatility_20d_pct": 130.06763966702516, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ETSY_CFD.US", "name": "Etsy, Inc.", "sector": "", "last_price": 51.72, "change_1d_pct": 7.236160066348751, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -11.119054411223894, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -2.1014495496893937, "volatility_20d_pct": 112.64294353455209, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "GRI_CFD.UK", "name": "GRAINGER PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 192.4, "change_1d_pct": 0.08322929671245038, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -4.9312468607917275, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.9128310349964197, "volatility_20d_pct": 71.43116862190418, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ABDN_CFD.UK", "name": "Aberdeen Group Plc", "sector": "", "last_price": 193.2, "change_1d_pct": -11.780821917808225, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 1.3805491026614547, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -6.772144752169284, "volatility_20d_pct": 87.08429925175024, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ALTR_CFD.PT", "name": "Altri SGPS SA", "sector": "", "last_price": 4.92, "change_1d_pct": 7.894736842105243, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 2.9427611047934343, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 5.366856555446109, "volatility_20d_pct": 64.77855600418211, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "KGF_CFD.UK", "name": "KINGFISHER PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 288.9, "change_1d_pct": -19.683069224353634, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -1.601320156743069, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -11.033453146133033, "volatility_20d_pct": 108.51503014907387, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "LPE_CFD.FR", "name": "Laurent-Perrier SA", "sector": "", "last_price": 84.0, "change_1d_pct": -1.6393442622950838, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -8.489031348226206, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -5.312616034316509, "volatility_20d_pct": 63.15525857156119, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "BP_CFD.UK", "name": "BP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 599.9, "change_1d_pct": 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"distance_from_ma200_pct": -40.677328599154464, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -19.373307923213446, "volatility_20d_pct": 118.7315796797711, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "DECB_CFD.BE", "name": "Deceuninck Sa", "sector": "", "last_price": 2.055, "change_1d_pct": 0.24390243902441266, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -4.7886005777547975, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -7.404069715047834, "volatility_20d_pct": 61.673824465603, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CPG_CFD.UK", "name": "COMPASS GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 2109.0, "change_1d_pct": -5.932203389830503, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -13.8820501772421, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -4.162370484009581, "volatility_20d_pct": 99.359311511423, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "IHG_CFD.UK", "name": "INTERCONTINENTAL HOTELS GROU", "sector": "", "last_price": 131.3, "change_1d_pct": -6.113693242760087, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -98.14870923792257, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -91.63774481250397, "volatility_20d_pct": 603.4065508356684, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "LPK_CFD.DE", "name": "LPKF Laser & Electronics", "sector": "", "last_price": 6.73, "change_1d_pct": 9.430894308943083, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -5.508781856562884, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -4.951557777589466, "volatility_20d_pct": 110.69275072617526, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CCC_CFD.UK", "name": "COMPUTACENTER PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 3094.0, "change_1d_pct": -0.3221649484536071, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 20.188775623074797, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 3.9891921148901277, "volatility_20d_pct": 126.25930616122969, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "ECONB_CFD.BE", "name": "Econocom Group SA/NV", "sector": "", "last_price": 1.41, "change_1d_pct": -0.7042253521126751, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -20.548385188190444, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -9.110833215155933, "volatility_20d_pct": 70.13354048579548, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "FRVIA_CFD.FR", "name": "FORVIA SE", "sector": "", "last_price": 10.025, "change_1d_pct": 5.238295192105813, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -13.629892241982766, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -16.951778184619705, "volatility_20d_pct": 97.35246554272572, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "FAGR_CFD.BE", "name": "Fagron SA", "sector": "", "last_price": 22.0, "change_1d_pct": 4.018912529550844, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 4.311576783277538, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.009091735612321017, "volatility_20d_pct": 61.04017055583092, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "LUV_CFD.US", "name": "", "sector": "", "last_price": 37.32, "change_1d_pct": -0.10706638115631772, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 0.27594693865486963, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -17.841150752242196, "volatility_20d_pct": 112.71711565245988, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "AMUN_CFD.FR", "name": "Amundi SA", "sector": "", "last_price": 75.6, "change_1d_pct": -2.8277634961439646, "distance_from_ma200_pct": null, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 0.02249183017344336, "volatility_20d_pct": 2338.94660825835, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "AIR_CFD.DE", "name": "AIRBUS SE", "sector": "", "last_price": 165.878, "change_1d_pct": 3.7340454138968138, "distance_from_ma200_pct": -12.98757875891452, "distance_from_ma50_pct": -8.440276651911782, "volatility_20d_pct": 62.76178576259574, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "DRX_CFD.UK", "name": "DRAX GROUP PLC", "sector": "", "last_price": 860.0, "change_1d_pct": 2.2592152199762294, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 23.438228316944866, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 6.124520095048069, "volatility_20d_pct": 87.65129082203057, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}, {"symbol": "CW_CFD.US", "name": "Curtiss-Wright Corporation", "sector": "", "last_price": 694.49, "change_1d_pct": 7.227334486166015, "distance_from_ma200_pct": 22.389094190469947, "distance_from_ma50_pct": 2.414993593993686, "volatility_20d_pct": 95.18766082614891, "market_cap_usd": null, "avg_daily_volume_usd": null, "days_to_next_earnings": null, "earnings_confirmed": null, "news_sentiment_score": null, "news_headlines_last_3": [], "data_quality_note": "snapshot_ok_prices_technicals_only"}], "output_schema": {"selected_stocks": [{"symbol": "string", "mean_reversion_score": "integer 0-100", "selection_reason": "short, concrete, indicator-based"}], "rejected_common_reasons": ["string"]}}Output JSON
{
"selected_stocks": [
{
"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Extreme 1-day drop (-30.75%) with oversold technicals (distance_from_ma200_pct: -45.18%, distance_from_ma50_pct: -32.27%)",
"mean_reversion_score": 85
},
{
"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Sharp 1-day decline (-26.63%) with oversold technicals (distance_from_ma200_pct: -13.37%, distance_from_ma50_pct: -22.13%)",
"mean_reversion_score": 80
},
{
"symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Large 1-day drop (-26.79%) with oversold technicals (distance_from_ma200_pct: -17.65%, distance_from_ma50_pct: -22.14%)",
"mean_reversion_score": 78
},
{
"symbol": "AUTO_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Extreme 1-day decline (-38.63%) with oversold technicals (distance_from_ma200_pct: -37.43%, distance_from_ma50_pct: -31.90%)",
"mean_reversion_score": 75
},
{
"symbol": "BTRW_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Significant 1-day drop (-24.46%) with oversold technicals (distance_from_ma200_pct: -31.60%, distance_from_ma50_pct: -26.25%)",
"mean_reversion_score": 70
}
],
"rejected_common_reasons": [
"No earnings date confirmed (avoid event-driven risk)",
"Insufficient liquidity data (unknown avg_daily_volume_usd)",
"Sector concentration (unknown sector, assumed overlap)",
"Extreme volatility (volatility_20d_pct > 200%)"
]
}#1955 • openrouter • mistralai/mistral-large-2512 • 2026-04-02T18:05:49.886457+00:00
System prompt
You are an Arena portfolio manager. You must follow the strategy rules strictly and output ONLY valid JSON. You are NOT allowed to invent prices/fundamentals/news/earnings. If a field is null/empty, treat it as unknown. Avoid overtrading: if changes are marginal, prefer HOLD. Do not churn.
User prompt
{"task": "stage2_portfolio_management", "region": "US", "strategy": {"key": "meanrev-v1", "name": "Two-Stage LLM Mean-Reversion (Arena v1)", "rules": {"max_positions": 10, "max_buys_per_run": 2, "avoid_overtrading": true, "max_sells_per_run": 2, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "universe_symbols_eu": [], "universe_symbols_us": []}}, "portfolio_constraints": {"initial_equity": 10000.0, "max_positions": 10, "fixed_position_size": 3000.0, "max_gross_leverage": 3.0, "overtrading_rules": ["Max 2 SELL actions per run unless risk event forces more", "Max 2 BUY actions per run", "If no clear improvement vs current holdings, output HOLD for everything"]}, "current_portfolio": [{"symbol": "AAL_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 2913.0, "last_price": 2900.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-19T10:09:24.325041+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ACM_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 88.42, "last_price": 97.88, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-15T10:57:15.913854+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ADS_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 137.15, "last_price": 138.55, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-04T10:26:53.527562+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AIR_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 200.984, "last_price": 187.12, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T09:33:49.074031+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AMCX_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 7.5, "last_price": 7.365, "unrealized_pnl": -53.999999999999915, "opened_at": "2026-02-24T18:14:37.115518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AMH_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 29.595, "last_price": 29.485, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T17:33:34.647633+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ATG_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 296.0, "last_price": 296.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-04T18:49:26.891792+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ATO_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 35.106, "last_price": 38.024, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-25T10:57:06.928276+00:00"}, {"symbol": "AUTO_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 482.8, "last_price": 482.8, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-19T18:04:14.272849+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BIG_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 0.453, "last_price": 0.453, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-28T10:51:05.818250+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BLND_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 364.2, "last_price": 364.2, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-09T18:18:45.954380+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BOY_CFD.UK", "qty": 4.73186119873817, "avg_price": 634.0, "last_price": 634.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-31T17:54:15.044829+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BRBY_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1070.84, "last_price": 1070.84, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-09T10:19:46.508085+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BTRW_CFD.UK", "qty": 11.961722488038276, "avg_price": 250.8, "last_price": 259.8, "unrealized_pnl": 107.65550239234449, "opened_at": "2026-03-23T18:04:09.108429+00:00"}, {"symbol": "BYIT_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 292.6, "last_price": 292.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-15T10:57:15.913854+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK", "qty": 78.73556514638985, "avg_price": 342.9199999999999, "last_price": 342.92, "unrealized_pnl": 8.95119741771735e-12, "opened_at": "2026-03-04T10:26:53.527562+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CRST_CFD.UK", "qty": 25.246149962130776, "avg_price": 118.83, "last_price": 118.83, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-18T17:58:33.497657+00:00"}, {"symbol": "CRWD_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 350.24, "last_price": 350.055, "unrealized_pnl": -1.5846276838739344, "opened_at": "2026-02-23T18:14:12.978497+00:00"}, {"symbol": "DLTR_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 112.12, "last_price": 107.655, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-17T18:12:35.221859+00:00"}, {"symbol": "DOM_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 199.3, "last_price": 189.21, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T09:33:49.074031+00:00"}, {"symbol": "DSY_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 17.881, "last_price": 16.752, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T09:30:55.514112+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ESNT_CFD.UK", "qty": 31.413612565445025, "avg_price": 95.5, "last_price": 95.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-20T10:26:40.341409+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ESTC_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 58.085, "last_price": 54.045, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T17:32:49.140800+00:00"}, {"symbol": "EVT_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 4.502, "last_price": 4.353, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-11T10:11:17.665074+00:00"}, {"symbol": "EXM_CFD.BE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 10.0, "last_price": 9.933, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T09:33:26.900894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "EXPD_CFD.US", "qty": 22.01269398686576, "avg_price": 136.285, "last_price": 144.98, "unrealized_pnl": 191.40037421579763, "opened_at": "2026-02-24T18:14:37.115518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "EZJ_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 405.2, "last_price": 394.1, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T17:33:34.647633+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FRVIA_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 12.709, "last_price": 12.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-26T10:33:24.101894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK", "qty": 21.1118930330753, "avg_price": 284.2, "last_price": 284.2, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-18T09:36:37.284518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "GO_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 6.53, "last_price": 6.35, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-05T18:20:59.102726+00:00"}, {"symbol": "GRI_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 189.6, "last_price": 189.6, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T09:33:26.900894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "HIK_CFD.UK", "qty": 4.854368932038835, "avg_price": 1236.0, "last_price": 1266.0, "unrealized_pnl": 145.63106796116503, "opened_at": "2026-02-26T10:33:24.101894+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ICG_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1693.0, "last_price": 1496.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-15T18:15:23.812047+00:00"}, {"symbol": "INF_CFD.UK", "qty": 4.0474905558553695, "avg_price": 741.2, "last_price": 766.2, "unrealized_pnl": 101.18726389638424, "opened_at": "2026-03-21T10:00:02.317290+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ITRK_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 3942.0, "last_price": 3760.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-13T10:07:39.444598+00:00"}, {"symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK", "qty": 52.26480836236934, "avg_price": 172.20000000000002, "last_price": 172.2, "unrealized_pnl": -1.4854551967110108e-12, "opened_at": "2026-03-16T18:18:58.833148+00:00"}, {"symbol": "JDW_CFD.UK", "qty": 4.514672686230249, "avg_price": 664.5, "last_price": 664.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-15T10:35:48.762746+00:00"}, {"symbol": "JEF_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 47.46, "last_price": 44.27, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-26T18:07:22.382508+00:00"}, {"symbol": "JMAT_CFD.UK", "qty": 1.6528925619834711, "avg_price": 1815.0, "last_price": 1876.0, "unrealized_pnl": 100.82644628099173, "opened_at": "2026-03-03T10:20:03.276878+00:00"}, {"symbol": "KGF_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 288.9, "last_price": 285.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-27T09:59:46.331143+00:00"}, {"symbol": "LIO_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 250.0, "last_price": 257.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T09:33:44.817899+00:00"}, {"symbol": "MCG_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 17.39, "last_price": 17.39, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-27T18:04:13.865611+00:00"}, {"symbol": "MSLH_CFD.UK", "qty": 21.30681818181818, "avg_price": 140.8, "last_price": 140.8, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-21T17:59:11.913241+00:00"}, {"symbol": "NA9_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 48.578, "last_price": 53.3, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-25T10:57:06.928276+00:00"}, {"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK", "qty": 44.052863436123346, "avg_price": 204.3, "last_price": 204.3, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T17:30:52.485845+00:00"}, {"symbol": "OKTA_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 70.18, "last_price": 79.26, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-23T18:14:12.978497+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK", "qty": 225.73363431151245, "avg_price": 132.89999999999998, "last_price": 132.9, "unrealized_pnl": 6.415735763070883e-12, "opened_at": "2026-03-06T10:33:43.857578+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PAG_CFD.UK", "qty": 3.9190071848465053, "avg_price": 765.5, "last_price": 765.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-22T18:18:31.438015+00:00"}, {"symbol": "PSN_CFD.UK", "qty": 2.808988764044944, "avg_price": 1068.0, "last_price": 1066.5, "unrealized_pnl": -4.213483146067416, "opened_at": "2026-03-21T10:00:02.317290+00:00"}, {"symbol": "RMV_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 424.3, "last_price": 424.3, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-19T00:47:27.070066+00:00"}, {"symbol": "SOI_CFD.FR", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 57.5, "last_price": 54.96, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-19T10:09:24.325041+00:00"}, {"symbol": "STJ_CFD.UK", "qty": 2.459016393442623, "avg_price": 1220.0, "last_price": 1220.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-15T10:35:48.762746+00:00"}, {"symbol": "SYNT_CFD.UK", "qty": 85.9598853868195, "avg_price": 34.9, "last_price": 38.55, "unrealized_pnl": 313.753581661891, "opened_at": "2026-03-04T18:49:26.891792+00:00"}, {"symbol": "TPK_CFD.UK", "qty": 5.328975415660082, "avg_price": 562.96, "last_price": 562.96, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-22T18:18:31.438015+00:00"}, {"symbol": "TRN_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 184.50000000000003, "last_price": 211.4, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T09:30:55.514112+00:00"}, {"symbol": "TRST_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 151.8, "last_price": 224.82, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-16T17:30:52.485845+00:00"}, {"symbol": "TUI1_CFD.DE", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 7.398000000000001, "last_price": 6.95, "unrealized_pnl": -181.67072181670738, "opened_at": "2026-03-02T10:31:26.559356+00:00"}, {"symbol": "UKW_CFD.UK", "qty": 32.48511099079589, "avg_price": 92.35, "last_price": 96.43, "unrealized_pnl": 132.53925284244764, "opened_at": "2026-02-20T09:33:44.817899+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ULTA_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 535.2, "last_price": 523.22, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-15T18:15:23.812047+00:00"}, {"symbol": "UTG_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 505.0, "last_price": 505.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-26T17:55:26.602359+00:00"}, {"symbol": "VSVS_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 425.0, "last_price": 421.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-16T18:18:58.833148+00:00"}, {"symbol": "VTY_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 385.0, "last_price": 385.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-11T10:11:17.665074+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WEIR_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 2890.0, "last_price": 2842.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-14T10:03:26.036362+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WIX_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 224.5, "last_price": 222.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-09T10:19:46.508085+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WIZZ_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 1087.0, "last_price": 1064.0, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-03-03T10:20:03.276878+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WKP_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 412.5, "last_price": 412.5, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-22T09:32:59.506254+00:00"}, {"symbol": "WPP_CFD.UK", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 263.4, "last_price": 257.0, "unrealized_pnl": -72.89293849658289, "opened_at": "2026-02-18T09:36:37.284518+00:00"}, {"symbol": "ZS_CFD.US", "qty": 0.0, "avg_price": 159.76, "last_price": 144.45, "unrealized_pnl": 0.0, "opened_at": "2026-02-21T17:32:49.140800+00:00"}], "candidates": [{"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 85, "selection_reason": "Extreme 1-day drop (-30.75%) with oversold technicals (distance_from_ma200_pct: -45.18%, distance_from_ma50_pct: -32.27%)"}, {"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 80, "selection_reason": "Sharp 1-day decline (-26.63%) with oversold technicals (distance_from_ma200_pct: -13.37%, distance_from_ma50_pct: -22.13%)"}, {"symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 78, "selection_reason": "Large 1-day drop (-26.79%) with oversold technicals (distance_from_ma200_pct: -17.65%, distance_from_ma50_pct: -22.14%)"}, {"symbol": "AUTO_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 75, "selection_reason": "Extreme 1-day decline (-38.63%) with oversold technicals (distance_from_ma200_pct: -37.43%, distance_from_ma50_pct: -31.90%)"}, {"symbol": "BTRW_CFD.UK", "mean_reversion_score": 70, "selection_reason": "Significant 1-day drop (-24.46%) with oversold technicals (distance_from_ma200_pct: -31.60%, distance_from_ma50_pct: -26.25%)"}], "output_schema": {"actions": {"sell": [{"symbol": "string", "reason": "string"}], "hold": [{"symbol": "string", "reason": "string"}], "buy": [{"symbol": "string", "position_size": "number (currency amount)", "reason": "string"}]}, "portfolio_rationale": "string"}}Output JSON
{
"actions": {
"buy": [
{
"reason": "Extreme 1-day decline (-38.63%) with oversold technicals (distance_from_ma200_pct: -37.43%, distance_from_ma50_pct: -31.90%); high mean_reversion_score (75).",
"symbol": "AUTO_CFD.UK",
"position_size": 3000
}
],
"hold": [
{
"reason": "No significant mean-reversion signal or price improvement; holding for potential recovery.",
"symbol": "BOY_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Already showing positive unrealized PnL (+107.66); no urgent need to sell.",
"symbol": "BTRW_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Current holding aligns with candidate list (mean_reversion_score: 80); no material change in price or technicals.",
"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "No significant mean-reversion signal or price movement; holding for stability.",
"symbol": "CRST_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "No price movement or mean-reversion signal; holding.",
"symbol": "ESNT_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Positive unrealized PnL (+191.40); no urgent need to sell.",
"symbol": "EXPD_CFD.US"
},
{
"reason": "Current holding aligns with candidate list (mean_reversion_score: 85); no material change in price or technicals.",
"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Positive unrealized PnL (+145.63); no urgent need to sell.",
"symbol": "HIK_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Positive unrealized PnL (+101.19); no urgent need to sell.",
"symbol": "INF_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Current holding aligns with candidate list (mean_reversion_score: 78); no material change in price or technicals.",
"symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "No price movement or mean-reversion signal; holding.",
"symbol": "JDW_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Positive unrealized PnL (+100.83); no urgent need to sell.",
"symbol": "JMAT_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "No price movement or mean-reversion signal; holding.",
"symbol": "MSLH_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "No price movement or mean-reversion signal; holding.",
"symbol": "OCDO_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "No significant price movement or mean-reversion signal; holding.",
"symbol": "PAGE_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "No price movement or mean-reversion signal; holding.",
"symbol": "PAG_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Marginal negative PnL (-4.21); no urgent need to sell.",
"symbol": "PSN_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "No price movement or mean-reversion signal; holding.",
"symbol": "STJ_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Positive unrealized PnL (+313.75); no urgent need to sell.",
"symbol": "SYNT_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "No price movement or mean-reversion signal; holding.",
"symbol": "TPK_CFD.UK"
},
{
"reason": "Positive unrealized PnL (+132.54); no urgent need to sell.",
"symbol": "UKW_CFD.UK"
}
],
"sell": []
},
"portfolio_rationale": "Portfolio remains largely unchanged due to lack of material price movements or stronger mean-reversion signals in current holdings. One new position (AUTO_CFD.UK) is added due to its extreme oversold condition and high mean-reversion score. All other positions are held to avoid overtrading and churn, as no clear improvement over current holdings is observed."
}Selection logs
#952 • stage1 • 2026-04-02T18:05:49.881497+00:00
{
"selected_stocks": [
{
"symbol": "FUTR_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Extreme 1-day drop (-30.75%) with oversold technicals (distance_from_ma200_pct: -45.18%, distance_from_ma50_pct: -32.27%)",
"mean_reversion_score": 85
},
{
"symbol": "CBG_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Sharp 1-day decline (-26.63%) with oversold technicals (distance_from_ma200_pct: -13.37%, distance_from_ma50_pct: -22.13%)",
"mean_reversion_score": 80
},
{
"symbol": "IWG_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Large 1-day drop (-26.79%) with oversold technicals (distance_from_ma200_pct: -17.65%, distance_from_ma50_pct: -22.14%)",
"mean_reversion_score": 78
},
{
"symbol": "AUTO_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Extreme 1-day decline (-38.63%) with oversold technicals (distance_from_ma200_pct: -37.43%, distance_from_ma50_pct: -31.90%)",
"mean_reversion_score": 75
},
{
"symbol": "BTRW_CFD.UK",
"selection_reason": "Significant 1-day drop (-24.46%) with oversold technicals (distance_from_ma200_pct: -31.60%, distance_from_ma50_pct: -26.25%)",
"mean_reversion_score": 70
}
],
"rejected_common_reasons": [
"No earnings date confirmed (avoid event-driven risk)",
"Insufficient liquidity data (unknown avg_daily_volume_usd)",
"Sector concentration (unknown sector, assumed overlap)",
"Extreme volatility (volatility_20d_pct > 200%)"
]
}